Steelers vs. Colts Picks & Best Bets 29th Sep 2024: NFL Week 4 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Indianapolis Colts will go up against the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL action on Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using advanced AI technology to identify the best Steelers vs. Colts bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Steelers will likely defeat the Colts with a projected final score of 21-19.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Steelers vs. Colts Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Steelers vs. Colts picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Steelers vs. Colts Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, September 29th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
• Location: Lucas Oil Stadium
• Spread: Steelers -2.5 / Colts +2.5
• Moneyline: Steelers -142 / Colts +124
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 40.5 Points (-122/+100)

Colts +2.5 @ +100 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Colts have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the Steelers have a probability of 42%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of +100 for the Colts +2.5, providing a favorable 8.2% edge for them to cover.

Total Points Under 40.5 @ +100 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total points scored is set at 40.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at +100.
• Our analysis shows a 49% chance of the 40.5-point total staying under, which presents greater value compared to betting on the over.

Steelers vs. Colts Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Pittsburgh Steelers at -142 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Indianapolis Colts are available at +124 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Steelers are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 58% chance of coming out on top.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Steelers also present the best betting value, with the odds of -142 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Steelers vs. Colts

Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Steelers vs. Colts game.

Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction

Justin Fields Over 43.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

• Our top prop bet for the Steelers is for Justin Fields to record over 43.5 rushing yards.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 78.3%, giving us an edge of 25.9% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.

Indianapolis Colts Prediction

Anthony Richardson Over 35.5 Rushing Yards (-120)

• Our best prop bet for the Colts is for Anthony Richardson to record over 35.5 rushing yards.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 80.0%, giving us an edge of 25.4% on the -120 odds offered by DraftKings.

These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Steelers vs. Colts Betting Trends

In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Steelers vs. Colts trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Najee Harris Over 68.5 Rushing Yards

Najee Harris has recorded more than 68.5 rushing yards in 6 of his last 7 appearances (86% of the time). You can put money on him to go over 68.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Jonathan Taylor Over 74.5 Rushing Yards

Jonathan Taylor has had more than 74.5 rushing yards in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 74.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.

Justin Fields Over 7.5 Rushing Attempts

Justin Fields has had more than 7.5 rushing attempts in 5 of his last 6 games (83%). You can wager on him to record over 7.5 rushing attempts again at odds of -135 (57%), again available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Justin Fields of the Steelers to record Rushing Yards 43.5 rushing yards, with a projection of 56 rushing yards marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Colts +2.5 to cover.

In addition to our Steelers vs. Colts predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets today and dive into Kyle Odegard's NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online NFL betting sites.