Steelers vs. Browns Picks & Best Bets 21st Nov 2024: NFL Week 12 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Cleveland Browns will go up against the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL action on Thursday at Huntington Bank Field, beginning at 8:15 p.m. ET.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Thursday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to determine the best Steelers vs. Browns bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Steelers will likely win with a projected final score of 20-17.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Steelers vs. Browns Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Steelers vs. Browns picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Steelers vs. Browns Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, November 21st, 2024
- Game Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Huntington Bank Field
- Spread: Steelers -3.5 / Browns +3.5
- Moneyline: Steelers -225 / Browns +190
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 36.5 Points (-112/-105)
Browns +3.5 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Steelers and Browns have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Browns +3.5 due to DraftKings Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -102.
Total Points Over 36.5 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 36.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -112.
- Our analysis indicates a 54% chance of the 36.5-point total going over, providing an edge of 1.4%.
Steelers vs. Browns Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Pittsburgh Steelers at -225 via BetMGM, whilst the Cleveland Browns are available at +190 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Steelers are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 65% chance of prevailing.
Even though the Steelers are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +190 odds on the Browns moneyline, providing an edge of 0.5%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Steelers vs. Browns
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Thursday's Steelers vs. Browns game.
Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Najee Harris | 63 yds | 41% |
| Jaylen Warren | 39 yds | 31% |
| Russell Wilson | 14 yds | 22% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| George Pickens | 51 yds | 31% |
| Calvin Austin | 28 yds | 15% |
| Pat Freiermuth | 25 yds | 15% |
Mike Williams Over 5.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Williams Over 5.5 Receiving Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Steelers is for Mike Williams to record over 5.5 receiving yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 82.1%, giving us an edge of 29.7% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
Cleveland Browns Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | 63 yds | 37% |
| Jerome Ford | 22 yds | 19% |
| Jameis Winston | 11 yds | 4% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jerry Jeudy | 51 yds | 24% |
| Cedric Tillman | 49 yds | 25% |
| David Njoku | 46 yds | 26% |
Elijah Moore Under 35.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Moore Under 35.5 Receiving Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -115 |
- Our best prop bet for the Browns is for Elijah Moore to record under 35.5 receiving yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 64.4%, giving us an edge of 10.9% on the -115 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Steelers vs. Browns Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Steelers vs. Browns trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Russell Wilson Over 186.5 Passing Yards
Russell Wilson has recorded more than 186.5 passing yards in 5 of his last 5 appearances (100% of the time). You can wager on him to go over 186.5 passing yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Russell Wilson Over 27.5 Passing Attempts
Russell Wilson has had more than 27.5 passing attempts in 5 of his last 5 appearances (100%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 27.5 passing attempts again at odds of +108 (48%), available at FanDuel.
Cedric Tillman Over 43.5 Receiving Yards
Cedric Tillman has had more than 43.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can bet on him to record over 43.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Mike Williams of the Steelers to record Receiving Yards 5.5 receiving yards, with a projection of 23 receiving yards marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Browns +3.5 to cover.
In addition to our Steelers vs. Browns predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets today and dive into Kyle Odegard's NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online NFL betting sites.
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