Rams vs. Patriots Picks & Best Bets 17th Nov 2024: NFL Week 11 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The New England Patriots will go up against the Los Angeles Rams in NFL action on Sunday at Gillette Stadium, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We have performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to pinpoint the best Rams vs. Patriots bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Rams will likely win with a projected final score of 22-19.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Rams vs. Patriots Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Rams vs. Patriots picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Rams vs. Patriots Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, November 17th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Gillette Stadium
- Spread: Rams -4.5 / Patriots +4.5
- Moneyline: Rams -198 / Patriots +172
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 42.5 Points (-105/-115)
Patriots +4.5 @ -115 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Patriots have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Rams have a probability of 48%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -115.
Total Points Over 42.5 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis suggests a 49% chance that the total will go over 42.5 points, which presents greater value compared to betting on the under.
Rams vs. Patriots Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Los Angeles Rams at -198 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the New England Patriots are available at +172 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Rams are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 66% chance of victory.
Additionally, the Rams present the best betting value, with the odds of -198 available at DraftKings Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Rams vs. Patriots
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Rams vs. Patriots matchup.
Los Angeles Rams Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Kyren Williams | 89 yds | 55% |
| Blake Corum | 14 yds | 12% |
| Matthew Stafford | 7 yds | 11% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua | 73 yds | 37% |
| Cooper Kupp | 69 yds | 36% |
| Demarcus Robinson | 31 yds | 19% |
Tyler Johnson Over 0.5 Receptions (-135)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Johnson Over 0.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -135 |
- Our top prop bet for the Rams is for Tyler Johnson to record over 0.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 77.9%, providing an edge of 20.5% on the -135 odds offered by DraftKings.
New England Patriots Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 62 yds | 44% |
| Drake Maye | 26 yds | 22% |
| Antonio Gibson | 15 yds | 17% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| DeMario Douglas | 45 yds | 24% |
| Kayshon Boutte | 40 yds | 25% |
| Hunter Henry | 36 yds | 24% |
Drake Maye Under 33.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye Under 33.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Patriots is for Drake Maye to record under 33.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 76.4%, providing an edge of 24.1% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Rams vs. Patriots Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Rams vs. Patriots trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Matthew Stafford Over 22.5 Passing Completions
Matthew Stafford has recorded more than 22.5 passing completions in 4 of his last 5 games (80% success rate). You can bet on him to record 23+ passing completions again at odds of +100 (50% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Matthew Stafford Over 33.5 Passing Attempts
Matthew Stafford has had more than 33.5 passing attempts in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 33.5 passing attempts again at odds of -102 (50%), available at FanDuel.
Demarcus Robinson Over 26.5 Receiving Yards
Demarcus Robinson has had more than 26.5 receiving yards in 8 of his last 10 appearances (80%). You can bet on him to record over 26.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Drake Maye of the Patriots to record Rushing Yards 33.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 24.1% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Patriots +4.5 to cover.
Beyond our Rams vs. Patriots predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the NFL best bets today and dive into Kyle Odegard's NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NFL betting sites.
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