Raiders vs. Dolphins Picks & Best Bets 17th Nov 2024: NFL Week 11 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Miami Dolphins will host the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL action on Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using advanced AI technology to pinpoint the best Raiders vs. Dolphins bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Dolphins will likely defeat the Raiders with a projected final score of 25-18.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Raiders vs. Dolphins Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Raiders vs. Dolphins picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Raiders vs. Dolphins Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, November 17th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Hard Rock Stadium
- Spread: Raiders +8 / Dolphins -8
- Moneyline: Raiders +340 / Dolphins -400
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 43.5 Points (-108/-110)
Raiders +8 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Raiders have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Dolphins have a probability of 44%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -105 for the Raiders +8, presenting a favorable 4.6% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Over 43.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 43.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -108.
- Our analysis suggests a slightly higher chance that the total will go over 43.5 points.
Raiders vs. Dolphins Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Las Vegas Raiders at +340 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Miami Dolphins are available at -400 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Dolphins are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 76% chance of victory.
Although the Dolphins are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +340 odds on the Raiders moneyline, providing an edge of 1.4%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Raiders vs. Dolphins
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Raiders vs. Dolphins game.
Las Vegas Raiders Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Alexander Mattison | 33 yds | 28% |
Zamir White | 25 yds | 22% |
Ameer Abdullah | 9 yds | 7% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Jakobi Meyers | 55 yds | 31% |
Brock Bowers | 51 yds | 36% |
Tre Tucker | 30 yds | 23% |
Alexander Mattison Under 42.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Alexander Mattison Under 42.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -115 |
- Our top prop bet for the Raiders is for Alexander Mattison to record under 42.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 69.5%, giving us an edge of 16.0% on the -115 odds offered by DraftKings.
Miami Dolphins Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
De'Von Achane | 65 yds | 54% |
Raheem Mostert | 32 yds | 28% |
Jaylen Wright | 23 yds | 21% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Tyreek Hill | 66 yds | 38% |
Jaylen Waddle | 47 yds | 26% |
Jonnu Smith | 42 yds | 27% |
Jaylen Wright Under 26.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Jaylen Wright Under 26.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Dolphins is for Jaylen Wright to record under 26.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 68.9%, giving us an edge of 16.5% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Raiders vs. Dolphins Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Raiders vs. Dolphins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Michael Mayer Over 9.5 Receiving Yards
Michael Mayer has recorded more than 9.5 receiving yards in 8 of his last 10 games (80% success rate). You can put money on him to go over 9.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Odell Beckham Jr. Over 10.5 Receiving Yards
Odell Beckham Jr. has had more than 10.5 receiving yards in 8 of his last 10 appearances (80%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 10.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at FanDuel.
Zamir White Over 19.5 Rushing Yards
Zamir White has had more than 19.5 rushing yards in 7 of his last 10 games (70%). You can wager on him to record over 19.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jaylen Wright of the Dolphins to record Rushing Yards 26.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 16.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Raiders +8 to cover.
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