Raiders vs. Broncos Picks & Best Bets 6th Oct 2024: NFL Week 5 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Denver Broncos will host the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL action on Sunday at Empower Field at Mile High, beginning at 4:05 p.m. ET.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to determine the best Raiders vs. Broncos bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Broncos will likely win with a projected final score of 19-17.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Raiders vs. Broncos Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Raiders vs. Broncos picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Raiders vs. Broncos Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, October 6th, 2024
- Game Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
- Location: Empower Field at Mile High
- Spread: Raiders +3 / Broncos -3
- Moneyline: Raiders +138 / Broncos -160
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 36.5 Points (-108/-112)
Raiders +3 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Raiders have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the Broncos have a probability of 42%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -110 for the Raiders +3, presenting a favorable 5.8% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 36.5 @ -112 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 36.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -112.
- Our analysis suggests a 51% likelihood of the 36.5-point total staying under.
Raiders vs. Broncos Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Las Vegas Raiders at +138 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Denver Broncos are available at -160 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Broncos are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 60% chance of coming out on top.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Broncos also present the best betting value, with the odds of -160 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Raiders vs. Broncos
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Raiders vs. Broncos matchup.
Las Vegas Raiders Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Alexander Mattison | 48 yds | 38% |
Gardner Minshew | 9 yds | 10% |
Tre Tucker | 6 yds | 33% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Jakobi Meyers | 56 yds | 35% |
Brock Bowers | 40 yds | 33% |
Tre Tucker | 39 yds | 33% |
Ameer Abdullah Under 9.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Ameer Abdullah Under 9.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -120 |
- Our top prop bet for the Raiders is for Ameer Abdullah to record under 9.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 82.1%, providing an edge of 27.5% on the -120 odds offered by DraftKings.
Denver Broncos Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Javonte Williams | 52 yds | 34% |
Jaleel McLaughlin | 36 yds | 23% |
Bo Nix | 19 yds | 15% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Courtland Sutton | 53 yds | 36% |
Lil'Jordan Humphrey | 31 yds | 18% |
Josh Reynolds | 26 yds | 19% |
Jaleel McLaughlin Over 29.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Jaleel McLaughlin Over 29.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Broncos is for Jaleel McLaughlin to record over 29.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 68.2%, giving us an edge of 15.9% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Raiders vs. Broncos Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Raiders vs. Broncos trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Josh Reynolds Over 23.5 Receiving Yards
Josh Reynolds has recorded more than 23.5 receiving yards in 7 of his last 8 games (88% of the time). You can put money on him to record 24+ receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Ameer Abdullah Over 5.5 Receiving Yards
Ameer Abdullah has had more than 5.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 7 games (71%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 5.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at Bet365.
Harrison Bryant Over 9.5 Receiving Yards
Harrison Bryant has had more than 9.5 receiving yards in 3 of his last 5 appearances (60%). You can wager on him to record over 9.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Ameer Abdullah of the Raiders to record Rushing Yards 9.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 27.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Raiders +3 to cover.
Beyond our Raiders vs. Broncos predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds tonight and insightful NFL predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets today and dive into NFL sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online NFL betting sites.