Patriots vs. Jets Picks & Best Bets 19th Sep 2024: NFL Week 3 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The New York Jets will face the New England Patriots in NFL action on Thursday at MetLife Stadium, beginning at 8:15 p.m. ET.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Thursday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to determine the best Patriots vs. Jets bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Jets will likely beat the Patriots with a projected final score of 22-16.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Patriots vs. Jets Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Patriots vs. Jets picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to produce NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Patriots vs. Jets Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, September 19th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: MetLife Stadium
- Spread: Patriots +6 / Jets -6
- Moneyline: Patriots +245 / Jets -275
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 39.5 Points (-105/-115)
Jets -6 @ -110 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Jets have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the Patriots have a probability of 46%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -110 for the Jets -6, providing a favorable 1.8% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Over 39.5 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 39.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis indicates a 51% probability that the total will go over 39.5 points.
Patriots vs. Jets Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New England Patriots at +245 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the New York Jets are available at -275 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Jets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 76% chance of coming out on top.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Jets also present the best betting value, with the odds of -275 available at BetMGM for an edge of 3%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Patriots vs. Jets
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Thursday's Patriots vs. Jets matchup.
New England Patriots Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 73 yds | 44% |
| Antonio Gibson | 28 yds | 23% |
| Jacoby Brissett | 14 yds | 17% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Ja'Lynn Polk | 32 yds | 15% |
| Hunter Henry | 32 yds | 22% |
| DeMario Douglas | 27 yds | 15% |
K.J. Osborn Under 2.5 Receptions (-165)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| K.J. Osborn Under 2.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -165 |
- Our top prop bet for the Patriots is for K.J. Osborn to record under 2.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 76.7%, providing an edge of 14.5% on the -165 odds offered by DraftKings.
New York Jets Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Breece Hall | 73 yds | 56% |
| Braelon Allen | 25 yds | 20% |
| Aaron Rodgers | 9 yds | 12% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson | 73 yds | 41% |
| Mike Williams | 39 yds | 23% |
| Breece Hall | 31 yds | 56% |
Breece Hall Under 4.5 Receptions (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breece Hall Under 4.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Jets is for Breece Hall to record under 4.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 72.9%, giving us an edge of 20.5% on the -110 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Patriots vs. Jets Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Patriots vs. Jets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Jeremy Ruckert Over 5.5 Receiving Yards
Jeremy Ruckert has recorded more than 5.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 7 appearances (86% of the time). You can bet on him to go over 5.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Mike Williams Over 27.5 Receiving Yards
Mike Williams has had more than 27.5 receiving yards in 8 of his last 9 games (89%). You can place a wager on him to record over 27.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
Antonio Gibson Over 6.5 Receiving Yards
Antonio Gibson has had more than 6.5 receiving yards in 8 of his last 10 appearances (80%). You can wager on him to record over 6.5 receiving yards again at odds of -105 (51%), available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Breece Hall of the Jets to record Receptions 4.5 receptions, with an edge of 20.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Jets -6 to cover.
In addition to our Patriots vs. Jets predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets tonight and dive into Kyle Odegard's NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.
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