Patriots vs. Dolphins Picks & Best Bets 24th Nov 2024: NFL Week 12 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Miami Dolphins will go up against the New England Patriots in NFL action on Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Patriots vs. Dolphins bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Dolphins will likely win with a projected final score of 26-19.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Patriots vs. Dolphins Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Patriots vs. Dolphins picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Patriots vs. Dolphins Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, November 24th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Hard Rock Stadium
- Spread: Patriots +7.5 / Dolphins -7.5
- Moneyline: Patriots +310 / Dolphins -355
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 45.5 Points (-110/-110)
Patriots +7.5 @ -112 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Patriots have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Dolphins have a probability of 44%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -112 for the Patriots +7.5, presenting a favorable 2.9% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 45.5 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 45.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -110.
- Our analysis indicates a slightly higher probability that the total will stay under 45.5 points.
Patriots vs. Dolphins Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New England Patriots at +310 via BetMGM, whilst the Miami Dolphins are available at -355 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Dolphins are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 75% chance of victory.
Even though the Dolphins are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +310 odds on the Patriots moneyline, providing an edge of 1%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Patriots vs. Dolphins
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Patriots vs. Dolphins matchup.
New England Patriots Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 56 yds | 38% |
| Drake Maye | 26 yds | 22% |
| Antonio Gibson | 12 yds | 12% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| DeMario Douglas | 45 yds | 22% |
| Hunter Henry | 41 yds | 26% |
| Kayshon Boutte | 40 yds | 27% |
Hunter Henry Under 45.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Henry Under 45.5 Receiving Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Patriots is for Hunter Henry to record under 45.5 receiving yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 64.8%, providing an edge of 12.4% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
Miami Dolphins Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | 70 yds | 57% |
| Jaylen Wright | 21 yds | 18% |
| Raheem Mostert | 18 yds | 19% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill | 70 yds | 42% |
| Jaylen Waddle | 47 yds | 26% |
| Jonnu Smith | 44 yds | 33% |
Jonnu Smith Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnu Smith Over 35.5 Receiving Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Dolphins is for Jonnu Smith to record over 35.5 receiving yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 62.2%, giving us an edge of 9.8% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Patriots vs. Dolphins Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Patriots vs. Dolphins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Hunter Henry Over 43.5 Receiving Yards
Hunter Henry has recorded more than 43.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80% success rate). You can wager on him to record 44+ receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Tua Tagovailoa Over 2.5 Rushing Yards
Tua Tagovailoa has had more than 2.5 rushing yards in 7 of his last 9 games (78%). You can place a wager on him to record over 2.5 rushing yards again at odds of +100 (50%), available at FanDuel.
Odell Beckham Jr. Over 12.5 Receiving Yards
Odell Beckham Jr. has had more than 12.5 receiving yards in 7 of his last 10 appearances (70%). You can bet on him to record over 12.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Hunter Henry of the Patriots to record Receiving Yards 45.5 receiving yards, with an edge of 12.4% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Patriots +7.5 to cover.
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