Patriots vs. Bengals Picks & Best Bets 8th Sep 2024: NFL Week 1 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Cincinnati Bengals will meet the New England Patriots in NFL action on Sunday at Paycor Stadium, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Patriots vs. Bengals bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Bengals will likely win with a projected final score of 24-17.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Patriots vs. Bengals Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Patriots vs. Bengals picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Patriots vs. Bengals Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, September 8th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Paycor Stadium
- Spread: Patriots +8 / Bengals -8
- Moneyline: Patriots +310 / Bengals -345
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 40.5 Points (-114/-106)
Patriots +8 @ -125 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Patriots have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the Bengals have a probability of 46%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -125.
Total Points Over 40.5 @ -114 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 40.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -114.
- Our analysis suggests a 51% likelihood that the total will go over 40.5 points.
Patriots vs. Bengals Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New England Patriots at +310 via BetMGM, whilst the Cincinnati Bengals are available at -345 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Bengals are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 77% chance of prevailing.
Additionally, the Bengals present the best betting value, with the odds of -345 available at DraftKings Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Patriots vs. Bengals
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Patriots vs. Bengals game.
New England Patriots Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 54 yds | 32% |
| Antonio Gibson | 19 yds | 18% |
| Jacoby Brissett | 17 yds | 19% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| DeMario Douglas | 40 yds | 20% |
| Ja'Lynn Polk | 37 yds | 19% |
| Hunter Henry | 31 yds | 22% |
Tyquan Thornton Under 10.5 Receiving Yards (+100)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyquan Thornton Under 10.5 Receiving Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +100 |
- Our top prop bet for the Patriots is for Tyquan Thornton to record under 10.5 receiving yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 70.7%, providing an edge of 20.7% on the +100 odds offered by DraftKings.
Cincinnati Bengals Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Moss | 50 yds | 40% |
| Chase Brown | 37 yds | 29% |
| Joe Burrow | 12 yds | 19% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase | 61 yds | 37% |
| Trenton Irwin | 50 yds | 29% |
| Andrei Iosivas | 42 yds | 29% |
Zack Moss Under 11.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Moss Under 11.5 Receiving Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -115 |
- Our best prop bet for the Bengals is for Zack Moss to record under 11.5 receiving yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 64.0%, providing an edge of 10.5% on the -115 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Patriots vs. Bengals Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Patriots vs. Bengals trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Antonio Gibson Over 12.5 Receiving Yards
Antonio Gibson has recorded more than 12.5 receiving yards in 9 of his last 10 appearances (90% success rate). You can bet on him to record 13+ receiving yards again at odds of +100 (50% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Joe Burrow Over 23.5 Passing Completions
Joe Burrow has had more than 23.5 passing completions in 5 of his last 6 appearances (83%). You can place a bet on him to record over 23.5 passing completions again at odds of +100 (50%), available at DraftKings.
Tyquan Thornton Over 10.5 Receiving Yards
Tyquan Thornton has had more than 10.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 6 appearances (67%). You can wager on him to record over 10.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tyquan Thornton of the Patriots to record Receiving Yards 10.5 receiving yards, with an edge of 20.7% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Patriots +8 to cover.
Beyond our Patriots vs. Bengals predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL betting odds and insightful NFL predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NFL best bets today and dive into our NFL expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online NFL betting sites.
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