Patriots vs. Bengals Picks & Best Bets 8th Sep 2024: NFL Week 1 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cincinnati Bengals will meet the New England Patriots in NFL action on Sunday at Paycor Stadium, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We have performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to reveal the best Patriots vs. Bengals bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Bengals will likely beat the Patriots with a projected final score of 24-16.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Patriots vs. Bengals Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Patriots vs. Bengals picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to generate NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Patriots vs. Bengals Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, September 8th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Paycor Stadium
- Spread: Patriots +7.5 / Bengals -7.5
- Moneyline: Patriots +340 / Bengals -375
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 40.5 Points (-108/-106)
Bengals -7.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Bengals have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Patriots have a probability of 48%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -110.
Total Points Over 40.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 40.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -108.
- Our analysis suggests a 55% chance of the 40.5-point total going over, providing an edge of 3%.
Patriots vs. Bengals Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New England Patriots at +340 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Cincinnati Bengals are available at -375 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Bengals are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 79% chance of coming out on top.
Additionally, the Bengals present the best betting value, with the odds of -375 available at DraftKings Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Patriots vs. Bengals
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Patriots vs. Bengals game.
New England Patriots Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Rhamondre Stevenson | 54 yds | 31% |
Antonio Gibson | 20 yds | 18% |
Jacoby Brissett | 17 yds | 19% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
DeMario Douglas | 40 yds | 19% |
Ja'Lynn Polk | 37 yds | 19% |
Hunter Henry | 31 yds | 21% |
Tyquan Thornton Under 10.5 Receiving Yards (+105)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Tyquan Thornton Under 10.5 Receiving Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +105 |
- Our top prop bet for the Patriots is for Tyquan Thornton to record under 10.5 receiving yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 70.9%, giving us an edge of 22.1% on the +105 odds offered by DraftKings.
Cincinnati Bengals Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Zack Moss | 50 yds | 40% |
Chase Brown | 37 yds | 29% |
Joe Burrow | 12 yds | 20% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Ja'Marr Chase | 61 yds | 38% |
Trenton Irwin | 50 yds | 30% |
Andrei Iosivas | 42 yds | 29% |
Zack Moss Under 11.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Zack Moss Under 11.5 Receiving Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -120 |
- Our best prop bet for the Bengals is for Zack Moss to record under 11.5 receiving yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 63.2%, providing an edge of 8.7% on the -120 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Patriots vs. Bengals Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Patriots vs. Bengals trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Antonio Gibson Over 12.5 Receiving Yards
Antonio Gibson has recorded more than 12.5 receiving yards in 9 of his last 10 games (90% success rate). You can wager on him to record 13+ receiving yards again at odds of +100 (50% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Joe Burrow Over 23.5 Passing Completions
Joe Burrow has had more than 23.5 passing completions in 5 of his last 6 games (83%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 23.5 passing completions again at odds of +100 (50%), also available at Bet365.
Hunter Henry Over 26.5 Receiving Yards
Hunter Henry has had more than 26.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 7 games (71%). You can wager on him to record over 26.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tyquan Thornton of the Patriots to record Receiving Yards 10.5 receiving yards, with an edge of 22.1% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Bengals -7.5 to cover.
Beyond our Patriots vs. Bengals predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NFL best bets today and dive into our NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NFL betting sites.