Patriots vs. Bears Picks & Best Bets 10th Nov 2024: NFL Week 10 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Chicago Bears will take on the New England Patriots in NFL action on Sunday at Soldier Field, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to pinpoint the best Patriots vs. Bears bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Bears will likely defeat the Patriots with a projected final score of 21-16.
To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Patriots vs. Bears Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Patriots vs. Bears picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to generate NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Patriots vs. Bears Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, November 10th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Soldier Field
- Spread: Patriots +6.5 / Bears -6.5
- Moneyline: Patriots +260 / Bears -280
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 37.5 Points (-105/-110)
Patriots +6.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Patriots have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the Bears have a probability of 43%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -110 for the Patriots +6.5, presenting a favorable 4.6% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Over 37.5 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 37.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis shows a 54% probability of the 37.5-point total going over, providing an edge of 2.7%.
Patriots vs. Bears Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the New England Patriots at +260 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Chicago Bears are available at -280 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Bears are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 75% chance of victory.
Additionally, the Bears present the best betting value, with the odds of -280 available at FanDuel Sportsbook for an edge of 0.9%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Patriots vs. Bears
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Patriots vs. Bears game.
New England Patriots Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 59 yds | 34% |
| Drake Maye | 25 yds | 25% |
| Antonio Gibson | 17 yds | 15% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| DeMario Douglas | 45 yds | 19% |
| Hunter Henry | 39 yds | 21% |
| Kendrick Bourne | 36 yds | 16% |
Kendrick Bourne Over 0.5 Rushing Yards (+450)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Bourne Over 0.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +450 |
- Our top prop bet for the Patriots is for Kendrick Bourne to record over 0.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 40.4%, giving us an edge of 22.2% on the +450 odds offered by DraftKings.
Chicago Bears Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift | 70 yds | 45% |
| Caleb Williams | 19 yds | 23% |
| Roschon Johnson | 14 yds | 19% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| DJ Moore | 64 yds | 36% |
| Keenan Allen | 41 yds | 29% |
| Rome Odunze | 40 yds | 32% |
Roschon Johnson Under 19.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roschon Johnson Under 19.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -115 |
- Our best prop bet for the Bears is for Roschon Johnson to record under 19.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 76.2%, providing an edge of 22.7% on the -115 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Patriots vs. Bears Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Patriots vs. Bears trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Antonio Gibson Over 3.5 Receiving Yards
Antonio Gibson has recorded more than 3.5 receiving yards in 7 of his last 8 games (88% of the time). You can put money on him to record 4+ receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
D'Andre Swift Over 16.5 Receiving Yards
D'Andre Swift has had more than 16.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 7 games (86%). You can place a bet on him to record over 16.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
Cole Kmet Over 26.5 Receiving Yards
Cole Kmet has had more than 26.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 games (83%). You can wager on him to record over 26.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Roschon Johnson of the Bears to record Rushing Yards 19.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 22.7% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Patriots +6.5 to cover.
Beyond our Patriots vs. Bears predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds for today and insightful NFL expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NFL best bets today and dive into NFL sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.
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