Panthers vs. Falcons Picks & Best Bets 5th Jan 2025: NFL Week 18 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Atlanta Falcons will host the Carolina Panthers in NFL action on Sunday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Panthers vs. Falcons bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Falcons will likely beat the Panthers with a projected final score of 27-20.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Panthers vs. Falcons Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Panthers vs. Falcons picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to produce NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Panthers vs. Falcons Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, January 5th, 2025
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Spread: Panthers +8 / Falcons -8
- Moneyline: Panthers +310 / Falcons -380
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 48.5 Points (-108/-110)
Panthers +8 @ -110 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Panthers have a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the Falcons have a probability of 40%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -110 for the Panthers +8, providing a favorable 7.6% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 48.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -110.
- Our analysis indicates a 55% likelihood that the total will stay under 48.5 points, providing an edge of 2.2%.
Panthers vs. Falcons Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Carolina Panthers at +310 via BetMGM, whilst the Atlanta Falcons are available at -380 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Falcons are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 73% chance of coming out on top.
Although the Falcons are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +310 odds on the Panthers moneyline, providing an edge of 2.3%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Panthers vs. Falcons
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Panthers vs. Falcons game.
Carolina Panthers Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Sanders | 49 yds | 32% |
| Raheem Blackshear | 33 yds | 15% |
| Bryce Young | 18 yds | 22% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Thielen | 62 yds | 36% |
| Jalen Coker | 45 yds | 26% |
| Xavier Legette | 44 yds | 19% |
Bryce Young Under 213.5 Passing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Young Under 213.5 Passing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Panthers is for Bryce Young to record under 213.5 passing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 62.1%, providing an edge of 9.7% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
Atlanta Falcons Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 102 yds | 70% |
| Tyler Allgeier | 33 yds | 29% |
| Michael Penix | 15 yds | 12% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Drake London | 87 yds | 44% |
| Kyle Pitts | 37 yds | 34% |
| KhaDarel Hodge | 37 yds | 23% |
Tyler Allgeier Under 35.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Allgeier Under 35.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -105 |
- Our best prop bet for the Falcons is for Tyler Allgeier to record under 35.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 63.5%, giving us an edge of 12.3% on the -105 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Panthers vs. Falcons Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Panthers vs. Falcons trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
David Moore Over 13.5 Receiving Yards
David Moore has recorded more than 13.5 receiving yards in 7 of his last 7 games (100% success rate). You can wager on him to record 14+ receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Bijan Robinson Over 19.5 Rushing Attempts
Bijan Robinson has had more than 19.5 rushing attempts in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 19.5 rushing attempts again at odds of -115 (53%), available at DraftKings.
Adam Thielen Over 53.5 Receiving Yards
Adam Thielen has had more than 53.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 6 appearances (67%). You can bet on him to record over 53.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tyler Allgeier of the Falcons to record Rushing Yards 35.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 12.3% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Panthers +8 to cover.
Beyond our Panthers vs. Falcons predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds tonight and insightful NFL computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets today and dive into our NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.
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