Packers vs. Bears Picks & Best Bets 17th Nov 2024: NFL Week 11 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Chicago Bears will take on the Green Bay Packers in NFL action on Sunday at Soldier Field, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to reveal the best Packers vs. Bears bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Packers will likely win with a projected final score of 23-17.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Packers vs. Bears Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Packers vs. Bears picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Packers vs. Bears Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, November 17th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Soldier Field
- Spread: Packers -6 / Bears +6
- Moneyline: Packers -250 / Bears +230
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 41.5 Points (-105/-115)
Bears +6 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Bears have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Packers have a probability of 47%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -105 for the Bears +6, providing a favorable 1.5% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 41.5 @ -115 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 41.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -115.
- Our analysis indicates a 52% probability of the 41.5-point total staying under.
Packers vs. Bears Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Green Bay Packers at -250 via BetMGM, whilst the Chicago Bears are available at +230 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Packers are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 71% chance of prevailing.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Packers also present the best betting value, with the odds of -250 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Packers vs. Bears
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Packers vs. Bears matchup.
Green Bay Packers Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 68 yds | 43% |
| MarShawn Lloyd | 19 yds | 16% |
| Emanuel Wilson | 14 yds | 12% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jayden Reed | 53 yds | 31% |
| Romeo Doubs | 47 yds | 22% |
| Christian Watson | 44 yds | 26% |
Dontayvion Wicks Over 1.5 Receptions (-120)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dontayvion Wicks Over 1.5 Receptions | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -120 |
- Our top prop bet for the Packers is for Dontayvion Wicks to record over 1.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 83.4%, providing an edge of 28.9% on the -120 odds offered by FanDuel.
Chicago Bears Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift | 65 yds | 40% |
| Caleb Williams | 18 yds | 20% |
| Roschon Johnson | 9 yds | 10% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| DJ Moore | 53 yds | 28% |
| Keenan Allen | 38 yds | 25% |
| Rome Odunze | 35 yds | 26% |
Roschon Johnson Under 13.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roschon Johnson Under 13.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Bears is for Roschon Johnson to record under 13.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 76.8%, providing an edge of 24.4% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Packers vs. Bears Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Packers vs. Bears trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Tucker Kraft Over 33.5 Receiving Yards
Tucker Kraft has recorded more than 33.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 6 appearances (67% of the time). You can wager on him to go over 33.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Jayden Reed Over 49.5 Receiving Yards
Jayden Reed has had more than 49.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 7 games (71%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 49.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
Emanuel Wilson Over 15.5 Rushing Yards
Emanuel Wilson has had more than 15.5 rushing yards in 5 of his last 7 appearances (71%). You can bet on him to record over 15.5 rushing yards again at odds of -105 (51%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Dontayvion Wicks of the Packers to record Receptions 1.5 receptions, with an edge of 28.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Bears +6 to cover.
Beyond our Packers vs. Bears predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NFL best bets today and dive into our NFL expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.
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