Lions vs. Texans Picks & Best Bets 10th Nov 2024: NFL Week 10 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Houston Texans will meet the Detroit Lions in NFL action on Sunday at NRG Stadium, starting at 8:20 p.m. ET.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to determine the best Lions vs. Texans bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Lions will likely beat the Texans with a projected final score of 26-22.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Lions vs. Texans Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Lions vs. Texans picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Lions vs. Texans Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, November 10th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Location: NRG Stadium
- Spread: Lions -4 / Texans +4
- Moneyline: Lions -220 / Texans +195
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 49.5 Points (-105/-108)
Lions -4 @ -110 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Lions have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the Texans have a probability of 49%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -110.
Total Points Under 49.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 49.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -108.
- Our analysis indicates a 51% probability that the total will stay under 49.5 points.
Lions vs. Texans Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Detroit Lions at -220 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Houston Texans are available at +195 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Lions are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 65% chance of prevailing.
Even though the Lions are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +195 odds on the Texans moneyline, providing an edge of 1.1%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Lions vs. Texans
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Lions vs. Texans game.
Detroit Lions Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 60 yds | 49% |
| David Montgomery | 59 yds | 55% |
| Jared Goff | 7 yds | 12% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 82 yds | 42% |
| Jameson Williams | 44 yds | 29% |
| Sam LaPorta | 36 yds | 28% |
David Montgomery Under 1.5 Receptions (+115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Montgomery Under 1.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +115 |
- Our top prop bet for the Lions is for David Montgomery to record under 1.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 62.6%, providing an edge of 16.1% on the +115 odds offered by DraftKings.
Houston Texans Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Mixon | 75 yds | 63% |
| C.J. Stroud | 13 yds | 20% |
| Tank Dell | 8 yds | 44% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Tank Dell | 75 yds | 44% |
| Dalton Schultz | 48 yds | 31% |
| John Metchie | 31 yds | 6% |
C.J. Stroud Under 16.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud Under 16.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -115 |
- Our best prop bet for the Texans is for C.J. Stroud to record under 16.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 72.1%, providing an edge of 18.6% on the -115 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Lions vs. Texans Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Lions vs. Texans trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Jahmyr Gibbs Over 62.5 Rushing Yards
Jahmyr Gibbs has recorded more than 62.5 rushing yards in 6 of his last 6 games (100% success rate). You can wager on him to go over 62.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Joe Mixon Over 75.5 Rushing Yards
Joe Mixon has had more than 75.5 rushing yards in 6 of his last 7 appearances (86%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 75.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
Jared Goff Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Jared Goff has had more than 1.5 passing touchdowns in 5 of his last 6 appearances (83%). You can wager on him to record over 1.5 passing touchdowns again at odds of -108 (52%), available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing C.J. Stroud of the Texans to record Rushing Yards 16.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 18.6% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Lions -4 to cover.
Beyond our Lions vs. Texans predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds tonight and insightful NFL expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets today and dive into NFL sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online NFL betting sites.
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