Lions vs. Cowboys Picks & Best Bets 13th Oct 2024: NFL Week 6 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Dallas Cowboys will host the Detroit Lions in NFL action on Sunday at AT&T Stadium, beginning at 4:25 p.m. ET.
We performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to reveal the best Lions vs. Cowboys bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Lions will likely beat the Cowboys with a projected final score of 27-24.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Lions vs. Cowboys Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Lions vs. Cowboys picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Lions vs. Cowboys Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, October 13th, 2024
- Game Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Location: AT&T Stadium
- Spread: Lions -3.5 / Cowboys +3.5
- Moneyline: Lions -174 / Cowboys +164
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 53.5 Points (-105/-112)
Lions -3.5 @ -104 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Lions and Cowboys have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Lions -3.5 because of FanDuel Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -104.
Total Points Under 53.5 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 53.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -112.
- Our analysis suggests a 52% probability of the 53.5-point total staying under.
Lions vs. Cowboys Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Detroit Lions at -174 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Dallas Cowboys are available at +164 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Lions are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 60% chance of victory.
Although the Lions are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +164 odds on the Cowboys moneyline, providing an edge of 1.7%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Lions vs. Cowboys
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Lions vs. Cowboys game.
Detroit Lions Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 61 yds | 50% |
| David Montgomery | 60 yds | 55% |
| Jared Goff | 7 yds | 13% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 84 yds | 40% |
| Jameson Williams | 50 yds | 35% |
| Sam LaPorta | 41 yds | 32% |
Tim Patrick Under 1.5 Receptions (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Patrick Under 1.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Lions is for Tim Patrick to record under 1.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 70.4%, providing an edge of 18.0% on the -110 odds offered by DraftKings.
Dallas Cowboys Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Rico Dowdle | 56 yds | 39% |
| Ezekiel Elliott | 20 yds | 25% |
| Dak Prescott | 16 yds | 19% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb | 79 yds | 43% |
| Jake Ferguson | 53 yds | 34% |
| Jalen Tolbert | 45 yds | 27% |
KaVontae Turpin Under 22.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| KaVontae Turpin Under 22.5 Receiving Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Cowboys is for KaVontae Turpin to record under 22.5 receiving yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 79.2%, providing an edge of 26.8% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Lions vs. Cowboys Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Lions vs. Cowboys trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Rico Dowdle Over 13.5 Receiving Yards
Rico Dowdle has recorded more than 13.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 7 games (86% of the time). You can wager on him to record 14+ receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
David Montgomery Over 8.5 Receiving Yards
David Montgomery has had more than 8.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 7 appearances (86%). You can place a wager on him to record over 8.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at Bet365.
Jared Goff Over 246.5 Passing Yards
Jared Goff has had more than 246.5 passing yards in 8 of his last 10 appearances (80%). You can bet on him to record over 246.5 passing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing KaVontae Turpin of the Cowboys to record Receiving Yards 22.5 receiving yards, with an edge of 26.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Lions -3.5 to cover.
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