Lions vs. Colts Picks & Best Bets 24th Nov 2024: NFL Week 12 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Indianapolis Colts will face the Detroit Lions in NFL action on Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to highlight the best Lions vs. Colts bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Lions will likely beat the Colts with a projected final score of 28-21.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Lions vs. Colts Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Lions vs. Colts picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Lions vs. Colts Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, November 24th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Lucas Oil Stadium
- Spread: Lions -7 / Colts +7
- Moneyline: Lions -370 / Colts +310
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 50.5 Points (-105/-110)
Colts +7 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Lions and Colts have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Colts +7 based on DraftKings Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -102.
Total Points Over 50.5 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 50.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis indicates a slightly higher probability of the 50.5-point total going over.
Lions vs. Colts Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Detroit Lions at -370 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Indianapolis Colts are available at +310 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Lions are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 73% chance of coming out on top.
Although the Lions are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +310 odds on the Colts moneyline, providing an edge of 2.8%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Lions vs. Colts
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Lions vs. Colts matchup.
Detroit Lions Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 66 yds | 53% |
| David Montgomery | 59 yds | 62% |
| Jared Goff | 7 yds | 12% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 79 yds | 45% |
| Jameson Williams | 43 yds | 33% |
| Sam LaPorta | 32 yds | 27% |
Tim Patrick Under 1.5 Receptions (-115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Patrick Under 1.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -115 |
- Our top prop bet for the Lions is for Tim Patrick to record under 1.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 67.5%, giving us an edge of 14.0% on the -115 odds offered by DraftKings.
Indianapolis Colts Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | 79 yds | 50% |
| Anthony Richardson | 39 yds | 41% |
| Trey Sermon | 11 yds | 6% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Pittman | 58 yds | 23% |
| Josh Downs | 56 yds | 29% |
| Alec Pierce | 34 yds | 21% |
Adonai Mitchell Over 1.5 Receptions (+170)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adonai Mitchell Over 1.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +170 |
- Our best prop bet for the Colts is for Adonai Mitchell to record over 1.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 59.3%, providing an edge of 22.3% on the +170 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Lions vs. Colts Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Lions vs. Colts trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Josh Downs Over 55.5 Receiving Yards
Josh Downs has recorded more than 55.5 receiving yards in 7 of his last 8 appearances (88% success rate). You can wager on him to record 56+ receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Jared Goff Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Jared Goff has had more than 1.5 passing touchdowns in 7 of his last 8 appearances (88%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 1.5 passing touchdowns again at odds of -128 (56%), also available at FanDuel.
Jameson Williams Over 43.5 Receiving Yards
Jameson Williams has had more than 43.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80%). You can bet on him to record over 43.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Adonai Mitchell of the Colts to record Receptions 1.5 receptions, with an edge of 22.3% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Colts +7 to cover.
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