Jaguars vs. Lions Picks & Best Bets 17th Nov 2024: NFL Week 11 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Detroit Lions will host the Jacksonville Jaguars in NFL action on Sunday at Ford Field, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We have performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to reveal the best Jaguars vs. Lions bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Lions will likely beat the Jaguars with a projected final score of 30-17.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Jaguars vs. Lions Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Jaguars vs. Lions picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to create NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Jaguars vs. Lions Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, November 17th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Ford Field
- Spread: Jaguars +14 / Lions -14
- Moneyline: Jaguars +650 / Lions -900
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 47.5 Points (-110/-108)
Jaguars +14 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Jaguars have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Lions have a probability of 47%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -105 for the Jaguars +14, providing a favorable 2.2% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 47.5 @ -108 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 47.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -108.
- Our analysis suggests a slightly higher chance that the total will stay under 47.5 points.
Jaguars vs. Lions Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Jacksonville Jaguars at +650 via BetMGM, whilst the Detroit Lions are available at -900 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Lions are heavily favored to win this game, with our projections giving them an 88% chance of victory.
Although the Lions are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +650 odds on the Jaguars moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Jaguars vs. Lions
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Jaguars vs. Lions matchup.
Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Travis Etienne | 54 yds | 38% |
| D'Ernest Johnson | 20 yds | 15% |
| Mac Jones | 11 yds | 8% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Thomas | 54 yds | 32% |
| Evan Engram | 48 yds | 26% |
| Gabe Davis | 41 yds | 24% |
Parker Washington Over 1.5 Receptions (-135)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Washington Over 1.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -135 |
- Our top prop bet for the Jaguars is for Parker Washington to record over 1.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 84.6%, providing an edge of 27.1% on the -135 odds offered by DraftKings.
Detroit Lions Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 62 yds | 57% |
| David Montgomery | 61 yds | 64% |
| Jared Goff | 7 yds | 14% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 77 yds | 44% |
| Jameson Williams | 40 yds | 35% |
| Brock Wright | 28 yds | 19% |
Jahmyr Gibbs Under 71.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs Under 71.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -120 |
- Our best prop bet for the Lions is for Jahmyr Gibbs to record under 71.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 77.8%, providing an edge of 23.3% on the -120 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Jaguars vs. Lions Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Jaguars vs. Lions trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Kalif Raymond Over 8.5 Receiving Yards
Kalif Raymond has recorded more than 8.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 5 games (100% success rate). You can bet on him to go over 8.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Jared Goff Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Jared Goff has had more than 1.5 passing touchdowns in 6 of his last 7 appearances (86%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 1.5 passing touchdowns again at odds of -130 (57%), available at FanDuel.
D'Ernest Johnson Over 8.5 Receiving Yards
D'Ernest Johnson has had more than 8.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80%). You can bet on him to record over 8.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Parker Washington of the Jaguars to record Receptions 1.5 receptions, with an edge of 27.1% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Jaguars +14 to cover.
In addition to our Jaguars vs. Lions predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL betting odds and insightful NFL predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NFL bets tonight and dive into NFL sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.
The people behind this page
DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online.
BettingOdds.com takes no responsibility for your actions.
