Jaguars vs. Dolphins Picks & Best Bets 8th Sep 2024: NFL Week 1 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Miami Dolphins will take on the Jacksonville Jaguars in NFL action on Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to highlight the best Jaguars vs. Dolphins bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Dolphins will likely beat the Jaguars with a projected final score of 26-23.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Jaguars vs. Dolphins Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Jaguars vs. Dolphins picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Jaguars vs. Dolphins Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, September 8th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Hard Rock Stadium
- Spread: Jaguars +3.5 / Dolphins -3.5
- Moneyline: Jaguars +160 / Dolphins -170
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 50 Points (-108/-112)
Jaguars +3.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Jaguars have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the Dolphins have a probability of 41%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -110 for the Jaguars +3.5, providing a favorable 6.5% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 50 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 50 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -112.
- Our analysis indicates a 51% chance of the 50-point total staying under.
Jaguars vs. Dolphins Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Jacksonville Jaguars at +160 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Miami Dolphins are available at -170 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Dolphins are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 60% chance of prevailing.
Even though the Dolphins are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +160 odds on the Jaguars moneyline, providing an edge of 1.3%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Jaguars vs. Dolphins
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Jaguars vs. Dolphins matchup.
Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Travis Etienne | 57 yds | 43% |
| Trevor Lawrence | 21 yds | 24% |
| Tank Bigsby | 10 yds | 16% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Kirk | 62 yds | 34% |
| Brian Thomas | 47 yds | 30% |
| Gabe Davis | 46 yds | 30% |
Tank Bigsby Under 15.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tank Bigsby Under 15.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -115 |
- Our top prop bet for the Jaguars is for Tank Bigsby to record under 15.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 77.5%, providing an edge of 24.0% on the -115 odds offered by DraftKings.
Miami Dolphins Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | 63 yds | 44% |
| Raheem Mostert | 55 yds | 41% |
| Jaylen Wright | 16 yds | 14% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill | 96 yds | 46% |
| Jaylen Waddle | 71 yds | 32% |
| Jonnu Smith | 32 yds | 23% |
De'Von Achane Under 2.5 Receptions (+128)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| De'Von Achane Under 2.5 Receptions | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +128 |
- Our best prop bet for the Dolphins is for De'Von Achane to record under 2.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 66.9%, giving us an edge of 23.0% on the +128 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tank Bigsby of the Jaguars to record Rushing Yards 15.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 24% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Jaguars +3.5 to cover.
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