Jaguars vs. Colts Picks & Best Bets 5th Jan 2025: NFL Week 18 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Indianapolis Colts will face the Jacksonville Jaguars in NFL action on Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to highlight the best Jaguars vs. Colts bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Colts will likely win with a projected final score of 24-21.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Jaguars vs. Colts Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Jaguars vs. Colts picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Jaguars vs. Colts Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, January 5th, 2025
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Lucas Oil Stadium
- Spread: Jaguars +3.5 / Colts -3.5
- Moneyline: Jaguars +176 / Colts -180
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 46.5 Points (-105/-115)
Jaguars +3.5 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Jaguars have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the Colts have a probability of 41%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -105 for the Jaguars +3.5, presenting a favorable 7.7% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Over 46.5 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis suggests a slightly higher likelihood that the total will go over 46.5 points.
Jaguars vs. Colts Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Jacksonville Jaguars at +176 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Indianapolis Colts are available at -180 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Colts are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 60% chance of coming out on top.
Even though the Colts are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +176 odds on the Jaguars moneyline, providing an edge of 3.6%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Jaguars vs. Colts
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Jaguars vs. Colts matchup.
Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Travis Etienne | 62 yds | 32% |
| Tank Bigsby | 54 yds | 45% |
| Mac Jones | 9 yds | 8% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Thomas | 73 yds | 38% |
| Parker Washington | 40 yds | 25% |
| Brenton Strange | 32 yds | 24% |
Mac Jones Under 8.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Jones Under 8.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -105 |
- Our top prop bet for the Jaguars is for Mac Jones to record under 8.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 68.7%, giving us an edge of 17.5% on the -105 odds offered by DraftKings.
Indianapolis Colts Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | 94 yds | 62% |
| Trey Sermon | 8 yds | 4% |
| Joe Flacco | 8 yds | 24% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Pittman | 67 yds | 30% |
| Josh Downs | 59 yds | 33% |
| Alec Pierce | 43 yds | 29% |
Kylen Granson Under 16.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kylen Granson Under 16.5 Receiving Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Colts is for Kylen Granson to record under 16.5 receiving yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 69.8%, giving us an edge of 17.5% on the -110 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Mac Jones of the Jaguars to record Rushing Yards 8.5 rushing yards, with a projection of 9 rushing yards marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Jaguars +3.5 to cover.
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