Jaguars vs. Bills Picks & Best Bets 23rd Sep 2024: NFL Week 3 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Buffalo Bills will meet the Jacksonville Jaguars in NFL action on Monday at Highmark Stadium, beginning at 7:30 p.m. ET.

We've run 10,000 simulations of Monday's NFL matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to pinpoint the best Jaguars vs. Bills bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Bills will likely beat the Jaguars with a projected final score of 25-21.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Jaguars vs. Bills Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Jaguars vs. Bills picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Jaguars vs. Bills Game Information

• Game Date: Monday, September 23rd, 2024
• Game Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Highmark Stadium
• Spread: Jaguars +4.5 / Bills -4.5
• Moneyline: Jaguars +184 / Bills -218
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 46.5 Points (-110/-110)

Jaguars +4.5 @ -115 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Jaguars have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Bills have a probability of 48%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -115.

Total Points Under 46.5 @ -110 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -110.
• Our analysis indicates a slightly higher likelihood that the total will stay under 46.5 points.

Jaguars vs. Bills Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Jacksonville Jaguars at +184 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Buffalo Bills are available at -218 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Bills are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 65% chance of prevailing.

Although the Bills are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +184 odds on the Jaguars moneyline, providing an edge of 0%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Jaguars vs. Bills

Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Monday's Jaguars vs. Bills game.

Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction

Luke Farrell Over 5.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

• Our top prop bet for the Jaguars is for Luke Farrell to record over 5.5 receiving yards.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 74.5%, giving us an edge of 22.1% on the -110 odds offered by DraftKings.

Buffalo Bills Prediction

Josh Allen Over 33.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

• Our best prop bet for the Bills is for Josh Allen to record over 33.5 rushing yards.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 73.6%, providing an edge of 21.3% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.

These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Luke Farrell of the Jaguars to record Receiving Yards 5.5 receiving yards, with a projection of 20 receiving yards marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Jaguars +4.5 to cover.

Beyond our Jaguars vs. Bills predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL betting odds and insightful NFL predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NFL best bets and dive into NFL sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.