Falcons vs. Saints Picks & Best Bets 10th Nov 2024: NFL Week 10 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The New Orleans Saints will take on the Atlanta Falcons in NFL action on Sunday at Caesars Superdome, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to highlight the best Falcons vs. Saints bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Falcons will likely beat the Saints with a projected final score of 25-21.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Falcons vs. Saints Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Falcons vs. Saints picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Falcons vs. Saints Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, November 10th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome
- Spread: Falcons -3.5 / Saints +3.5
- Moneyline: Falcons -192 / Saints +166
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 47.5 Points (-105/-110)
Saints +3.5 @ -106 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Falcons and Saints have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Saints +3.5 because of FanDuel Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -106.
Total Points Under 47.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 47.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -110.
- Our analysis shows a 52% probability that the total will stay under 47.5 points, providing an edge of 0.1%.
Falcons vs. Saints Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Atlanta Falcons at -192 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the New Orleans Saints are available at +166 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Falcons are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 63% chance of victory.
Although the Falcons are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +166 odds on the Saints moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Falcons vs. Saints
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Falcons vs. Saints matchup.
Atlanta Falcons Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 80 yds | 56% |
| Tyler Allgeier | 40 yds | 33% |
| Kirk Cousins | 8 yds | 12% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Drake London | 76 yds | 41% |
| Darnell Mooney | 55 yds | 33% |
| Kyle Pitts | 36 yds | 28% |
Kyle Pitts Under 3.5 Receptions (-108)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pitts Under 3.5 Receptions | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -108 |
- Our top prop bet for the Falcons is for Kyle Pitts to record under 3.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 73.4%, providing an edge of 21.5% on the -108 odds offered by FanDuel.
New Orleans Saints Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | 68 yds | 59% |
| Taysom Hill | 49 yds | 32% |
| Jamaal Williams | 11 yds | 10% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Mason Tipton | 40 yds | 19% |
| Alvin Kamara | 33 yds | 59% |
| Taysom Hill | 31 yds | 32% |
Alvin Kamara Under 41.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara Under 41.5 Receiving Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -115 |
- Our best prop bet for the Saints is for Alvin Kamara to record under 41.5 receiving yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 72.6%, giving us an edge of 19.1% on the -115 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Falcons vs. Saints Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Falcons vs. Saints trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Derek Carr Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Derek Carr has recorded more than 1.5 passing touchdowns in 7 of his last 10 games (70% of the time). You can put money on him to record 2+ passing touchdowns again at odds of +190 (34% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Juwan Johnson Over 30.5 Receiving Yards
Juwan Johnson has had more than 30.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 30.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
Kyle Pitts Over 40.5 Receiving Yards
Kyle Pitts has had more than 40.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80%). You can wager on him to record over 40.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Kyle Pitts of the Falcons to record Receptions 3.5 receptions, with an edge of 21.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Saints +3.5 to cover.
Beyond our Falcons vs. Saints predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NFL best bets and dive into NFL sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online NFL betting sites.
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