Falcons vs. Commanders Picks & Best Bets 29th Dec 2024: NFL Week 17 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Washington Commanders will go up against the Atlanta Falcons in NFL action on Sunday at Northwest Stadium, beginning at 8:20 p.m. ET.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using advanced AI technology to highlight the best Falcons vs. Commanders bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Commanders will likely beat the Falcons with a projected final score of 25-21.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Falcons vs. Commanders Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Falcons vs. Commanders picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Falcons vs. Commanders Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, December 29th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Location: Northwest Stadium
- Spread: Falcons +3.5 / Commanders -3.5
- Moneyline: Falcons +170 / Commanders -176
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 46.5 Points (-110/-110)
Commanders -3.5 @ -102 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Commanders have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the Falcons have a probability of 41%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -102 for the Commanders -3.5, presenting a favorable 8.4% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Over 46.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -110.
- Our analysis shows a 54% probability that the total will go over 46.5 points, providing an edge of 1.4%.
Falcons vs. Commanders Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Atlanta Falcons at +170 via BetMGM, whilst the Washington Commanders are available at -176 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Commanders are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 64% chance of coming out on top.
Additionally, the Commanders present the best betting value, with the odds of -176 available at FanDuel Sportsbook, presenting an edge of 0.7%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Falcons vs. Commanders
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Falcons vs. Commanders game.
Atlanta Falcons Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Bijan Robinson | 87 yds | 57% |
Tyler Allgeier | 32 yds | 21% |
Michael Penix | 15 yds | 12% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Drake London | 73 yds | 40% |
Darnell Mooney | 52 yds | 29% |
Ray-Ray McCloud | 31 yds | 23% |
Bijan Robinson Under 3.5 Receptions (-196)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Bijan Robinson Under 3.5 Receptions | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -196 |
- Our top prop bet for the Falcons is for Bijan Robinson to record under 3.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 75.7%, giving us an edge of 9.5% on the -196 odds offered by FanDuel.
Washington Commanders Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Brian Robinson | 62 yds | 46% |
Jayden Daniels | 42 yds | 49% |
Chris Rodriguez | 16 yds | 13% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Terry McLaurin | 68 yds | 47% |
Zach Ertz | 36 yds | 21% |
Olamide Zaccheaus | 35 yds | 21% |
Jayden Daniels Under 48.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Jayden Daniels Under 48.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -105 |
- Our best prop bet for the Commanders is for Jayden Daniels to record under 48.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 73.2%, providing an edge of 22.0% on the -105 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Falcons vs. Commanders Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Falcons vs. Commanders trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Tyler Allgeier Over 7.5 Rushing Attempts
Tyler Allgeier has recorded more than 7.5 rushing attempts in 5 of his last 6 appearances (83% success rate). You can wager on him to record 8+ rushing attempts again at odds of +110 (48% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Bijan Robinson Over 83.5 Rushing Yards
Bijan Robinson has had more than 83.5 rushing yards in 6 of his last 7 appearances (86%). You can place a wager on him to record over 83.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at FanDuel.
Drake London Over 55.5 Receiving Yards
Drake London has had more than 55.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 appearances (83%). You can bet on him to record over 55.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jayden Daniels of the Commanders to record Rushing Yards 48.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 22% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Commanders -3.5 to cover.
In addition to our Falcons vs. Commanders predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets and dive into NFL sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.