Dolphins vs. Texans Picks & Best Bets 15th Dec 2024: NFL Week 15 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Houston Texans will take on the Miami Dolphins in NFL action on Sunday at NRG Stadium, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to highlight the best Dolphins vs. Texans bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Texans will likely beat the Dolphins with a projected final score of 23-21.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Dolphins vs. Texans Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Dolphins vs. Texans picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Dolphins vs. Texans Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, December 15th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: NRG Stadium
- Spread: Dolphins +2.5 / Texans -2.5
- Moneyline: Dolphins +130 / Texans -150
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 46.5 Points (-105/-112)
Dolphins +2.5 @ +100 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Dolphins have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Texans have a probability of 48%.
- BetMGM offers odds of +100 for the Dolphins +2.5, presenting a favorable 1.8% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 46.5 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -112.
- Our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of the 46.5-point total staying under.
Dolphins vs. Texans Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Dolphins at +130 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Houston Texans are available at -150 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Texans are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 59% chance of coming out on top.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Texans also present the best betting value, with the odds of -150 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Dolphins vs. Texans
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Dolphins vs. Texans matchup.
Miami Dolphins Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | 67 yds | 52% |
| Jaylen Wright | 24 yds | 20% |
| Raheem Mostert | 19 yds | 17% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill | 68 yds | 35% |
| Jaylen Waddle | 56 yds | 27% |
| Jonnu Smith | 52 yds | 34% |
Raheem Mostert Over 11.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raheem Mostert Over 11.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Dolphins is for Raheem Mostert to record over 11.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 72.8%, providing an edge of 20.4% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
Houston Texans Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Mixon | 79 yds | 60% |
| C.J. Stroud | 14 yds | 19% |
| Dameon Pierce | 7 yds | 4% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Collins | 93 yds | 45% |
| Tank Dell | 54 yds | 36% |
| Dalton Schultz | 45 yds | 28% |
C.J. Stroud Over 255.5 Passing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud Over 255.5 Passing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Texans is for C.J. Stroud to record over 255.5 passing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 65.8%, providing an edge of 13.4% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Dolphins vs. Texans Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Dolphins vs. Texans trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Joe Mixon Over 19.5 Rushing Attempts
Joe Mixon has recorded more than 19.5 rushing attempts in 6 of his last 7 games (86% success rate). You can put money on him to record 20+ rushing attempts again at odds of +102 (50% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Julian Hill Over 4.5 Receiving Yards
Julian Hill has had more than 4.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 games (83%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 4.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at Bet365.
Tua Tagovailoa Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Tua Tagovailoa has had more than 1.5 passing touchdowns in 5 of his last 6 games (83%). You can bet on him to record over 1.5 passing touchdowns again at odds of -125 (56%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Raheem Mostert of the Dolphins to record Rushing Yards 11.5 rushing yards, with a projection of 19 rushing yards marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Dolphins +2.5 to cover.
Beyond our Dolphins vs. Texans predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds tonight and insightful NFL predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the NFL best bets today and dive into Kyle Odegard's NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NFL betting sites.
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