Dolphins vs. Patriots Picks & Best Bets 6th Oct 2024: NFL Week 5 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The New England Patriots will meet the Miami Dolphins in NFL action on Sunday at Gillette Stadium, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We've performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using advanced AI technology to determine the best Dolphins vs. Patriots bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Dolphins will likely defeat the Patriots with a projected final score of 19-17.
To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Dolphins vs. Patriots Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Dolphins vs. Patriots picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Dolphins vs. Patriots Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, October 6th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Gillette Stadium
- Spread: Dolphins -2.5 / Patriots +2.5
- Moneyline: Dolphins -130 / Patriots +112
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 37 Points (-110/-108)
Patriots +2.5 @ -115 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Patriots have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Dolphins have a probability of 48%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -115.
Total Points Under 37 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 37, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -108.
- Our analysis indicates a slightly higher probability that the total will stay under 37 points.
Dolphins vs. Patriots Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Dolphins at -130 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the New England Patriots are available at +112 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Dolphins are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 60% chance of prevailing.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Dolphins also present the best betting value, with the odds of -130 available at DraftKings Sportsbook, presenting an edge of 3.1%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Dolphins vs. Patriots
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Dolphins vs. Patriots matchup.
Miami Dolphins Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
De'Von Achane | 66 yds | 46% |
Raheem Mostert | 31 yds | 24% |
Tyler Huntley | 17 yds | 18% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Tyreek Hill | 63 yds | 34% |
Jaylen Waddle | 49 yds | 23% |
De'Von Achane | 23 yds | 46% |
Tyreek Hill Under 6.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Tyreek Hill Under 6.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -120 |
- Our top prop bet for the Dolphins is for Tyreek Hill to record under 6.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 75.7%, giving us an edge of 21.1% on the -120 odds offered by DraftKings.
New England Patriots Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Rhamondre Stevenson | 44 yds | 31% |
Antonio Gibson | 40 yds | 35% |
Jacoby Brissett | 12 yds | 11% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Ja'Lynn Polk | 36 yds | 21% |
DeMario Douglas | 27 yds | 14% |
Hunter Henry | 25 yds | 18% |
Antonio Gibson Under 44.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Antonio Gibson Under 44.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Patriots is for Antonio Gibson to record under 44.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 70.6%, providing an edge of 18.2% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Dolphins vs. Patriots Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Dolphins vs. Patriots trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Kendrick Bourne Over 20.5 Receiving Yards
Kendrick Bourne has recorded more than 20.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 5 games (100% of the time). You can bet on him to record 21+ receiving yards again at odds of +100 (50% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Raheem Mostert Over 25.5 Rushing Yards
Raheem Mostert has had more than 25.5 rushing yards in 9 of his last 10 games (90%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 25.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
De'Von Achane Over 20.5 Receiving Yards
De'Von Achane has had more than 20.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80%). You can bet on him to record over 20.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tyreek Hill of the Dolphins to record Rushing Yards 6.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 21.1% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Patriots +2.5 to cover.
In addition to our Dolphins vs. Patriots predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds tonight and insightful NFL predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets today and dive into our NFL expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the leading online NFL betting sites.