Dolphins vs. Packers Picks & Best Bets 28th Nov 2024: NFL Week 13 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Green Bay Packers will take on the Miami Dolphins in NFL action on Thursday at Lambeau Field, beginning at 8:20 p.m. ET.
We performed 10,000 simulations of Thursday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to pinpoint the best Dolphins vs. Packers bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Packers will likely defeat the Dolphins with a projected final score of 25-22.
To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Dolphins vs. Packers Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Dolphins vs. Packers picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to create NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Dolphins vs. Packers Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, November 28th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Location: Lambeau Field
- Spread: Dolphins +3.5 / Packers -3.5
- Moneyline: Dolphins +162 / Packers -185
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 47.5 Points (-110/-110)
Dolphins +3.5 @ -115 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Dolphins have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the Packers have a probability of 41%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -115 for the Dolphins +3.5, presenting a favorable 5.4% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 47.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 47.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -110.
- Our analysis indicates a 52% chance of the 47.5-point total staying under.
Dolphins vs. Packers Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Dolphins at +162 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Green Bay Packers are available at -185 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Packers are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 61% chance of prevailing.
Although the Packers are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +162 odds on the Dolphins moneyline, providing an edge of 1.3%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Dolphins vs. Packers
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Thursday's Dolphins vs. Packers matchup.
Miami Dolphins Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | 66 yds | 48% |
| Jaylen Wright | 20 yds | 16% |
| Raheem Mostert | 9 yds | 10% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill | 61 yds | 33% |
| Jaylen Waddle | 55 yds | 27% |
| Jonnu Smith | 52 yds | 35% |
Raheem Mostert Under 10.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raheem Mostert Under 10.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Dolphins is for Raheem Mostert to record under 10.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 71.7%, giving us an edge of 19.3% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
Green Bay Packers Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 71 yds | 54% |
| Emanuel Wilson | 14 yds | 16% |
| Jordan Love | 13 yds | 24% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jayden Reed | 52 yds | 37% |
| Tucker Kraft | 39 yds | 28% |
| Christian Watson | 38 yds | 29% |
Dontayvion Wicks Under 3.5 Receptions (-135)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dontayvion Wicks Under 3.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -135 |
- Our best prop bet for the Packers is for Dontayvion Wicks to record under 3.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 86.1%, providing an edge of 28.7% on the -135 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Dolphins vs. Packers Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Dolphins vs. Packers trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Josh Jacobs Over 72.5 Rushing Yards
Josh Jacobs has recorded more than 72.5 rushing yards in 5 of his last 5 games (100% of the time). You can wager on him to go over 72.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Tua Tagovailoa Over 23.5 Passing Completions
Tua Tagovailoa has had more than 23.5 passing completions in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80%). You can place a bet on him to record over 23.5 passing completions again at odds of -105 (51%), available at Bet365.
Chris Brooks Over 6.5 Rushing Yards
Chris Brooks has had more than 6.5 rushing yards in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80%). You can wager on him to record over 6.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Dontayvion Wicks of the Packers to record Receptions 3.5 receptions, with an edge of 28.7% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Dolphins +3.5 to cover.
Beyond our Dolphins vs. Packers predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets tonight and dive into Kyle Odegard's NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NFL betting sites.
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