Dolphins vs. Jets Picks & Best Bets 5th Jan 2025: NFL Week 18 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Jets will take on the Miami Dolphins in NFL action on Sunday at MetLife Stadium, beginning at 4:25 p.m. ET.
We run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to pinpoint the best Dolphins vs. Jets bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Jets will likely defeat the Dolphins with a projected final score of 21-19.
To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Dolphins vs. Jets Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Dolphins vs. Jets picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Dolphins vs. Jets Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, January 5th, 2025
- Game Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Location: MetLife Stadium
- Spread: Dolphins +2.5 / Jets -2.5
- Moneyline: Dolphins +120 / Jets -125
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 39.5 Points (-105/-112)
Dolphins +2.5 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Dolphins have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Jets have a probability of 47%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -112.
Total Points Over 39.5 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 39.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis shows a 54% chance that the total will go over 39.5 points, providing an edge of 2.3%.
Dolphins vs. Jets Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Dolphins at +120 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the New York Jets are available at -125 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Jets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 57% chance of coming out on top.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Jets also present the best betting value, with the odds of -125 available at BetMGM, presenting an edge of 1.2%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Dolphins vs. Jets
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Dolphins vs. Jets matchup.
Miami Dolphins Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
De'Von Achane | 66 yds | 42% |
Raheem Mostert | 36 yds | 23% |
Tyler Huntley | 32 yds | 20% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Tyreek Hill | 62 yds | 29% |
Jaylen Waddle | 51 yds | 22% |
Jonnu Smith | 49 yds | 28% |
Jonnu Smith Over 32.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Jonnu Smith Over 32.5 Receiving Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Dolphins is for Jonnu Smith to record over 32.5 receiving yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 75.5%, providing an edge of 23.2% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
New York Jets Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Breece Hall | 60 yds | 41% |
Braelon Allen | 22 yds | 18% |
Isaiah Davis | 8 yds | 4% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Davante Adams | 64 yds | 38% |
Garrett Wilson | 62 yds | 30% |
Tyler Conklin | 38 yds | 18% |
Tyler Conklin Over 21.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Tyler Conklin Over 21.5 Receiving Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -115 |
- Our best prop bet for the Jets is for Tyler Conklin to record over 21.5 receiving yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 76.9%, giving us an edge of 23.4% on the -115 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Dolphins vs. Jets Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Dolphins vs. Jets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Jonnu Smith Over 33.5 Receiving Yards
Jonnu Smith has recorded more than 33.5 receiving yards in 8 of his last 9 games (89% success rate). You can bet on him to go over 33.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Jaylen Waddle Over 33.5 Receiving Yards
Jaylen Waddle has had more than 33.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 appearances (83%). You can place a bet on him to record over 33.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
Garrett Wilson Over 53.5 Receiving Yards
Garrett Wilson has had more than 53.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can bet on him to record over 53.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tyler Conklin of the Jets to record Receiving Yards 21.5 receiving yards, with a projection of 38 receiving yards marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Dolphins +2.5 to cover.
In addition to our Dolphins vs. Jets predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets tonight and dive into Kyle Odegard's NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.