Dolphins vs. Colts Picks & Best Bets 20th Oct 2024: NFL Week 7 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Indianapolis Colts will face the Miami Dolphins in NFL action on Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using advanced AI technology to determine the best Dolphins vs. Colts bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Colts will likely beat the Dolphins with a projected final score of 22-20.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Dolphins vs. Colts Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Dolphins vs. Colts picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Dolphins vs. Colts Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, October 20th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Lucas Oil Stadium
- Spread: Dolphins +3 / Colts -3
- Moneyline: Dolphins +130 / Colts -144
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 44 Points (-112/-108)
Dolphins +3 @ -115 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Dolphins have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Colts have a probability of 44%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -115 for the Dolphins +3, providing a favorable 3% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 44 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 44, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -108.
- Our analysis indicates a 53% probability that the total will stay under 44 points, providing an edge of 0.8%.
Dolphins vs. Colts Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Dolphins at +130 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Indianapolis Colts are available at -144 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Colts are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 60% chance of prevailing.
Additionally, the Colts present the best betting value, with the odds of -144 available at FanDuel Sportsbook for an edge of 0.8%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Dolphins vs. Colts
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Dolphins vs. Colts matchup.
Miami Dolphins Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | 56 yds | 41% |
| Raheem Mostert | 52 yds | 34% |
| Tyler Huntley | 31 yds | 17% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill | 73 yds | 32% |
| Jaylen Waddle | 56 yds | 25% |
| Jonnu Smith | 26 yds | 16% |
Jaylen Wright Under 12.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Wright Under 12.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Dolphins is for Jaylen Wright to record under 12.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 76.9%, providing an edge of 24.6% on the -110 odds offered by DraftKings.
Indianapolis Colts Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Trey Sermon | 60 yds | 35% |
| Anthony Richardson | 37 yds | 44% |
| Tyler Goodson | 28 yds | 23% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Pittman | 67 yds | 29% |
| Josh Downs | 51 yds | 30% |
| Alec Pierce | 41 yds | 21% |
Alec Pierce Over 23.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Pierce Over 23.5 Receiving Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Colts is for Alec Pierce to record over 23.5 receiving yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 79.3%, providing an edge of 26.9% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Dolphins vs. Colts Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Dolphins vs. Colts trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Odell Beckham Jr. Over 7.5 Receiving Yards
Odell Beckham Jr. has recorded more than 7.5 receiving yards in 9 of his last 10 games (90% of the time). You can put money on him to go over 7.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Raheem Mostert Over 37.5 Rushing Yards
Raheem Mostert has had more than 37.5 rushing yards in 8 of his last 10 games (80%). You can place a bet on him to record over 37.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at FanDuel.
De'Von Achane Over 19.5 Receiving Yards
De'Von Achane has had more than 19.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 6 appearances (67%). You can wager on him to record over 19.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Alec Pierce of the Colts to record Receiving Yards 23.5 receiving yards, with a projection of 41 receiving yards marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Dolphins +3 to cover.
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