Dolphins vs. Bills Picks & Best Bets 3rd Nov 2024: NFL Week 9 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Buffalo Bills will host the Miami Dolphins in NFL action on Sunday at Highmark Stadium, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to identify the best Dolphins vs. Bills bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Bills will likely beat the Dolphins with a projected final score of 27-21.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Dolphins vs. Bills Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Dolphins vs. Bills picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to create NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Dolphins vs. Bills Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, November 3rd, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Highmark Stadium
- Spread: Dolphins +5.5 / Bills -5.5
- Moneyline: Dolphins +245 / Bills -275
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 48.5 Points (-106/-110)
Bills -5.5 @ -122 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Bills have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the Dolphins have a probability of 43%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -122 for the Bills -5.5, providing a favorable 2% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Over 48.5 @ -106 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -106.
- Our analysis shows a 51% probability that the total will go over 48.5 points.
Dolphins vs. Bills Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Miami Dolphins at +245 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Buffalo Bills are available at -275 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Bills are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 72% chance of victory.
Even though the Bills are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +245 odds on the Dolphins moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Dolphins vs. Bills
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Dolphins vs. Bills game.
Miami Dolphins Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | 61 yds | 45% |
| Raheem Mostert | 53 yds | 35% |
| Jaylen Wright | 11 yds | 10% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill | 86 yds | 42% |
| Jaylen Waddle | 59 yds | 28% |
| Jonnu Smith | 37 yds | 20% |
De'Von Achane Under 37.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| De'Von Achane Under 37.5 Receiving Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Dolphins is for De'Von Achane to record under 37.5 receiving yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 77.2%, giving us an edge of 24.8% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
Buffalo Bills Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| James Cook | 71 yds | 50% |
| Josh Allen | 36 yds | 52% |
| Ray Davis | 15 yds | 14% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Khalil Shakir | 65 yds | 35% |
| Keon Coleman | 49 yds | 32% |
| Dalton Kincaid | 48 yds | 29% |
Ray Davis Under 21.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Davis Under 21.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -115 |
- Our best prop bet for the Bills is for Ray Davis to record under 21.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 79.3%, providing an edge of 25.8% on the -115 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Dolphins vs. Bills Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Dolphins vs. Bills trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Tua Tagovailoa Over 5.5 Rushing Yards
Tua Tagovailoa has recorded more than 5.5 rushing yards in 5 of his last 5 games (100% of the time). You can bet on him to record 6+ rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Raheem Mostert Over 28.5 Rushing Yards
Raheem Mostert has had more than 28.5 rushing yards in 8 of his last 10 appearances (80%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 28.5 rushing yards again at odds of +100 (50%), also available at Bet365.
James Cook Over 13.5 Receiving Yards
James Cook has had more than 13.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 8 appearances (75%). You can bet on him to record over 13.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Ray Davis of the Bills to record Rushing Yards 21.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 25.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Bills -5.5 to cover.
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