Cowboys vs. Steelers Picks & Best Bets 6th Oct 2024: NFL Week 5 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Pittsburgh Steelers will face the Dallas Cowboys in NFL action on Sunday at Acrisure Stadium, beginning at 8:20 p.m. ET.
We performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to reveal the best Cowboys vs. Steelers bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Steelers will likely win with a projected final score of 22-20.
To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Cowboys vs. Steelers Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Cowboys vs. Steelers picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to produce NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Cowboys vs. Steelers Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, October 6th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Location: Acrisure Stadium
- Spread: Cowboys +2.5 / Steelers -2.5
- Moneyline: Cowboys +120 / Steelers -135
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 44.5 Points (-105/-115)
Cowboys +2.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, both the Cowboys and Steelers have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Cowboys +2.5 because of BetMGM's more favorable odds of -105.
Total Points Under 44.5 @ -115 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -115.
- Our analysis shows a 54% chance of the 44.5-point total staying under, providing an edge of 0.1%.
Cowboys vs. Steelers Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Dallas Cowboys at +120 via BetMGM, whilst the Pittsburgh Steelers are available at -135 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Steelers are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 58% chance of victory.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Steelers also present the best betting value, with the odds of -135 available at DraftKings Sportsbook for an edge of 1%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Cowboys vs. Steelers
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Cowboys vs. Steelers game.
Dallas Cowboys Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Rico Dowdle | 45 yds | 29% |
Ezekiel Elliott | 17 yds | 18% |
Dak Prescott | 16 yds | 17% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
CeeDee Lamb | 74 yds | 44% |
Jake Ferguson | 49 yds | 30% |
Jalen Tolbert | 40 yds | 23% |
KaVontae Turpin Under 1.5 Receptions (+106)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
KaVontae Turpin Under 1.5 Receptions | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +106 |
- Our top prop bet for the Cowboys is for KaVontae Turpin to record under 1.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 63.1%, providing an edge of 14.6% on the +106 odds offered by FanDuel.
Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Najee Harris | 76 yds | 53% |
Justin Fields | 52 yds | 44% |
Aaron Shampklin | 8 yds | 5% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
George Pickens | 54 yds | 47% |
Pat Freiermuth | 42 yds | 34% |
Calvin Austin | 22 yds | 16% |
Van Jefferson Under 1.5 Receptions (+112)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Van Jefferson Under 1.5 Receptions | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +112 |
- Our best prop bet for the Steelers is for Van Jefferson to record under 1.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 66.7%, giving us an edge of 19.5% on the +112 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Van Jefferson of the Steelers to record Receptions 1.5 receptions, with an edge of 19.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Cowboys +2.5 to cover.
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