Cowboys vs. Falcons Picks & Best Bets 3rd Nov 2024: NFL Week 9 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Atlanta Falcons will host the Dallas Cowboys in NFL action on Sunday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We've performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to pinpoint the best Cowboys vs. Falcons bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Falcons will likely beat the Cowboys with a projected final score of 26-24.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Cowboys vs. Falcons Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Cowboys vs. Falcons picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Cowboys vs. Falcons Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, November 3rd, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Spread: Cowboys +3.5 / Falcons -3.5
- Moneyline: Cowboys +148 / Falcons -166
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 51.5 Points (-118/-104)
Cowboys +3.5 @ -130 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Cowboys have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Falcons have a probability of 44%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -130.
Total Points Under 51.5 @ -104 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 51.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -104.
- Our analysis suggests a 51% probability of the 51.5-point total staying under.
Cowboys vs. Falcons Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Dallas Cowboys at +148 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Atlanta Falcons are available at -166 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Falcons are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 59% chance of victory.
Even though the Falcons are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +148 odds on the Cowboys moneyline, providing an edge of 0.5%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Cowboys vs. Falcons
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Cowboys vs. Falcons matchup.
Dallas Cowboys Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Rico Dowdle | 58 yds | 43% |
| Dak Prescott | 16 yds | 21% |
| Dalvin Cook | 16 yds | 17% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb | 81 yds | 48% |
| Jake Ferguson | 50 yds | 33% |
| Jalen Tolbert | 43 yds | 28% |
KaVontae Turpin Under 2.5 Receptions (-190)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| KaVontae Turpin Under 2.5 Receptions | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -190 |
- Our top prop bet for the Cowboys is for KaVontae Turpin to record under 2.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 90.6%, giving us an edge of 25.1% on the -190 odds offered by FanDuel.
Atlanta Falcons Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 75 yds | 57% |
| Tyler Allgeier | 40 yds | 30% |
| Kirk Cousins | 8 yds | 14% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Drake London | 80 yds | 47% |
| Darnell Mooney | 54 yds | 34% |
| Kyle Pitts | 37 yds | 32% |
Kyle Pitts Under 4.5 Receptions (-165)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pitts Under 4.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -165 |
- Our best prop bet for the Falcons is for Kyle Pitts to record under 4.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 86.6%, giving us an edge of 24.3% on the -165 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Cowboys vs. Falcons Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Cowboys vs. Falcons trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Jalen Tolbert Over 41.5 Receiving Yards
Jalen Tolbert has recorded more than 41.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 games (83% of the time). You can put money on him to go over 41.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Rico Dowdle Over 16.5 Receiving Yards
Rico Dowdle has had more than 16.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can place a wager on him to record over 16.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
Bijan Robinson Over 24.5 Receiving Yards
Bijan Robinson has had more than 24.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 9 games (67%). You can wager on him to record over 24.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing KaVontae Turpin of the Cowboys to record Receptions 2.5 receptions, with an edge of 25.1% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Cowboys +3.5 to cover.
Beyond our Cowboys vs. Falcons predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NFL best bets and dive into our NFL expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NFL betting sites.
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