Commanders vs. Saints Picks & Best Bets 15th Dec 2024: NFL Week 15 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The New Orleans Saints will meet the Washington Commanders in NFL action on Sunday at Caesars Superdome, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using advanced AI technology to reveal the best Commanders vs. Saints bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Commanders will likely defeat the Saints with a projected final score of 25-18.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Commanders vs. Saints Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Commanders vs. Saints picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Commanders vs. Saints Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, December 15th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome
- Spread: Commanders -7.5 / Saints +7.5
- Moneyline: Commanders -350 / Saints +310
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 44.5 Points (-110/-108)
Commanders -7.5 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Commanders and Saints have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Commanders -7.5 based on FanDuel Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -105.
Total Points Under 44.5 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -108.
- Our analysis suggests a 54% chance that the total will stay under 44.5 points, providing an edge of 1.7%.
Commanders vs. Saints Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Commanders at -350 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the New Orleans Saints are available at +310 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Commanders are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 76% chance of victory.
Even though the Commanders are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +310 odds on the Saints moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Commanders vs. Saints
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Commanders vs. Saints game.
Washington Commanders Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Robinson | 69 yds | 47% |
| Jayden Daniels | 42 yds | 48% |
| Chris Rodriguez | 22 yds | 16% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Terry McLaurin | 68 yds | 39% |
| Zach Ertz | 36 yds | 24% |
| Dyami Brown | 34 yds | 21% |
Olamide Zaccheaus Under 1.5 Receptions (+155)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olamide Zaccheaus Under 1.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +155 |
- Our top prop bet for the Commanders is for Olamide Zaccheaus to record under 1.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 51.8%, providing an edge of 12.6% on the +155 odds offered by DraftKings.
New Orleans Saints Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | 55 yds | 40% |
| Kendre Miller | 27 yds | 22% |
| Jake Haener | 17 yds | 35% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 40 yds | 23% |
| Juwan Johnson | 31 yds | 20% |
| Alvin Kamara | 29 yds | 40% |
Kendre Miller Under 32.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kendre Miller Under 32.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -115 |
- Our best prop bet for the Saints is for Kendre Miller to record under 32.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 73.4%, providing an edge of 19.9% on the -115 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Commanders vs. Saints Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Commanders vs. Saints trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Over 34.5 Receiving Yards
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has recorded more than 34.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 games (80% success rate). You can wager on him to go over 34.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Jeremy McNichols Over 12.5 Rushing Yards
Jeremy McNichols has had more than 12.5 rushing yards in 3 of his last 5 games (60%). You can place a wager on him to record over 12.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
Alvin Kamara Over 60.5 Rushing Yards
Alvin Kamara has had more than 60.5 rushing yards in 4 of his last 6 appearances (67%). You can wager on him to record over 60.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Kendre Miller of the Saints to record Rushing Yards 32.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 19.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Commanders -7.5 to cover.
In addition to our Commanders vs. Saints predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds for today and insightful NFL computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets today and dive into our NFL expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.
The people behind this page
DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online.
BettingOdds.com takes no responsibility for your actions.
