Commanders vs. Ravens Picks & Best Bets 13th Oct 2024: NFL Week 6 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Baltimore Ravens will go up against the Washington Commanders in NFL action on Sunday at M&T Bank Stadium, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to reveal the best Commanders vs. Ravens bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Ravens will likely beat the Commanders with a projected final score of 28-22.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Commanders vs. Ravens Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Commanders vs. Ravens picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Commanders vs. Ravens Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, October 13th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: M&T Bank Stadium
- Spread: Commanders +7 / Ravens -7
- Moneyline: Commanders +260 / Ravens -310
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 50.5 Points (-110/-110)
Commanders +7 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Commanders and Ravens have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Commanders +7 based on DraftKings Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -108.
Total Points Under 50.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 50.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -110.
- Our analysis shows a slightly higher likelihood of the 50.5-point total staying under.
Commanders vs. Ravens Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Commanders at +260 via BetMGM, whilst the Baltimore Ravens are available at -310 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Ravens are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 72% chance of victory.
Although the Ravens are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +260 odds on the Commanders moneyline, providing an edge of 0.7%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Commanders vs. Ravens
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Commanders vs. Ravens matchup.
Washington Commanders Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | 41 yds | 49% |
| Austin Ekeler | 41 yds | 41% |
| Jeremy McNichols | 24 yds | 20% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Terry McLaurin | 66 yds | 34% |
| Noah Brown | 38 yds | 20% |
| Luke McCaffrey | 25 yds | 15% |
Zach Ertz Under 33.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Ertz Under 33.5 Receiving Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Commanders is for Zach Ertz to record under 33.5 receiving yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 74.7%, giving us an edge of 22.3% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
Baltimore Ravens Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | 80 yds | 71% |
| Lamar Jackson | 54 yds | 41% |
| Justice Hill | 14 yds | 24% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Zay Flowers | 56 yds | 36% |
| Rashod Bateman | 34 yds | 27% |
| Mark Andrews | 33 yds | 25% |
Nelson Agholor Under 1.5 Receptions (-130)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Agholor Under 1.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -130 |
- Our best prop bet for the Ravens is for Nelson Agholor to record under 1.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 76.4%, providing an edge of 19.9% on the -130 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Commanders vs. Ravens Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Commanders vs. Ravens trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Charlie Kolar Over 0.5 Receiving Yards
Charlie Kolar has recorded at least one receiving yards in 9 of his last 9 games (100% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +100 (50% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Austin Ekeler Over 20.5 Receiving Yards
Austin Ekeler has had more than 20.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 5 games (100%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 20.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
Lamar Jackson Over 9.5 Rushing Attempts
Lamar Jackson has had more than 9.5 rushing attempts in 3 of his last 5 appearances (60%). You can wager on him to record over 9.5 rushing attempts again at odds of +100 (50%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Zach Ertz of the Commanders to record Receiving Yards 33.5 receiving yards, with an edge of 22.3% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Commanders +7 to cover.
In addition to our Commanders vs. Ravens predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NFL best bets today and dive into our NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online NFL betting sites.
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