Commanders vs. Eagles Picks & Best Bets 14th Nov 2024: NFL Week 11 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Philadelphia Eagles will go up against the Washington Commanders in NFL action on Thursday at Lincoln Financial Field, beginning at 8:15 p.m. ET.

We've performed 10,000 simulations of Thursday's NFL matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to pinpoint the best Commanders vs. Eagles bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Eagles will likely defeat the Commanders with a projected final score of 27-22.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Commanders vs. Eagles Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Commanders vs. Eagles picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Commanders vs. Eagles Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, November 14th, 2024
• Game Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Location: Lincoln Financial Field
• Spread: Commanders +4.5 / Eagles -4.5
• Moneyline: Commanders +190 / Eagles -215
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 49.5 Points (-105/-110)

Eagles -4.5 @ -106 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, both the Commanders and Eagles have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
• We prefer the Eagles -4.5 because of FanDuel Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -106.

Total Points Over 49.5 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total points scored is set at 49.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -105.
• Our analysis suggests a 53% likelihood of the 49.5-point total going over, providing an edge of 1.8%.

Commanders vs. Eagles Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Commanders at +190 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Philadelphia Eagles are available at -215 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Eagles are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 65% chance of victory.

Even though the Eagles are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +190 odds on the Commanders moneyline, providing an edge of 0.2%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Commanders vs. Eagles

Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Thursday's Commanders vs. Eagles game.

Washington Commanders Prediction

Jayden Daniels Under 224.5 Passing Yards (-110)

• Our top prop bet for the Commanders is for Jayden Daniels to record under 224.5 passing yards.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 67.2%, giving us an edge of 14.8% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.

Philadelphia Eagles Prediction

Saquon Barkley Under 95.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

• Our best prop bet for the Eagles is for Saquon Barkley to record under 95.5 rushing yards.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 68.3%, providing an edge of 15.9% on the -110 odds offered by DraftKings.

These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Commanders vs. Eagles Betting Trends

In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Commanders vs. Eagles trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

A.J. Brown Over 80.5 Receiving Yards

A.J. Brown has recorded more than 80.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 games (83% success rate). You can put money on him to record 81+ receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Jahan Dotson Over 9.5 Receiving Yards

Jahan Dotson has had more than 9.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80%). You can place a wager on him to record over 9.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.

Kenneth Gainwell Over 13.5 Rushing Yards

Kenneth Gainwell has had more than 13.5 rushing yards in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can bet on him to record over 13.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Saquon Barkley of the Eagles to record Rushing Yards 95.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 15.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Eagles -4.5 to cover.

In addition to our Commanders vs. Eagles predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds for today and insightful NFL expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets and dive into Kyle Odegard's NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.