Commanders vs. Cowboys Picks & Best Bets 5th Jan 2025: NFL Week 18 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Dallas Cowboys will meet the Washington Commanders in NFL action on Sunday at AT&T Stadium, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Commanders vs. Cowboys bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Commanders will likely win with a projected final score of 25-18.
To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Commanders vs. Cowboys Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Commanders vs. Cowboys picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Commanders vs. Cowboys Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, January 5th, 2025
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: AT&T Stadium
- Spread: Commanders -7 / Cowboys +7
- Moneyline: Commanders -298 / Cowboys +280
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 43.5 Points (-105/-115)
Cowboys +7 @ -105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, both the Commanders and Cowboys have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Cowboys +7 because of BetMGM's more favorable odds of -105.
Total Points Over 43.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 43.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis suggests a slightly higher chance that the total will go over 43.5 points.
Commanders vs. Cowboys Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Commanders at -298 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Dallas Cowboys are available at +280 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Commanders are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 75% chance of victory.
Additionally, the Commanders present the best betting value, with the odds of -298 available at DraftKings Sportsbook for an edge of 0.1%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Commanders vs. Cowboys
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Commanders vs. Cowboys matchup.
Washington Commanders Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Brian Robinson | 50 yds | 32% |
Jayden Daniels | 42 yds | 42% |
Jeremy McNichols | 28 yds | 10% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Terry McLaurin | 65 yds | 41% |
Olamide Zaccheaus | 50 yds | 26% |
Zach Ertz | 36 yds | 18% |
Jayden Daniels Under 47.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Jayden Daniels Under 47.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Commanders is for Jayden Daniels to record under 47.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 71.1%, providing an edge of 18.8% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
Dallas Cowboys Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Rico Dowdle | 73 yds | 32% |
Trey Lance | 30 yds | 11% |
Deuce Vaughn | 10 yds | 8% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Brandin Cooks | 47 yds | 29% |
Jalen Tolbert | 35 yds | 13% |
Jake Ferguson | 30 yds | 17% |
Jake Ferguson Under 4.5 Receptions (-215)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Jake Ferguson Under 4.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -215 |
- Our best prop bet for the Cowboys is for Jake Ferguson to record under 4.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 86.1%, giving us an edge of 17.8% on the -215 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Commanders vs. Cowboys Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Commanders vs. Cowboys trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Brian Robinson Over 7.5 Receiving Yards
Brian Robinson has recorded more than 7.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 7 appearances (86% success rate). You can bet on him to record 8+ receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Terry McLaurin Over 58.5 Receiving Yards
Terry McLaurin has had more than 58.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 58.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at Bet365.
Rico Dowdle Over 9.5 Receiving Yards
Rico Dowdle has had more than 9.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 6 appearances (67%). You can wager on him to record over 9.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jayden Daniels of the Commanders to record Rushing Yards 47.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 18.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Cowboys +7 to cover.
Beyond our Commanders vs. Cowboys predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NFL bets and dive into our NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online NFL betting sites.