Commanders vs. Cardinals Picks & Best Bets 29th Sep 2024: NFL Week 4 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Arizona Cardinals will go up against the Washington Commanders in NFL action on Sunday at State Farm Stadium, starting at 4:05 p.m. ET.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to identify the best Commanders vs. Cardinals bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Cardinals will likely win with a projected final score of 26-23.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Commanders vs. Cardinals Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Commanders vs. Cardinals picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Commanders vs. Cardinals Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, September 29th, 2024
- Game Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
- Location: State Farm Stadium
- Spread: Commanders +3.5 / Cardinals -3.5
- Moneyline: Commanders +152 / Cardinals -180
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 48.5 Points (-110/-110)
Cardinals -3.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, both the Commanders and Cardinals have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Cardinals -3.5 based on BetMGM's more favorable odds of -105.
Total Points Over 48.5 @ -110 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -110.
- Our analysis suggests a 53% likelihood that the total will go over 48.5 points, providing an edge of 0.3%.
Commanders vs. Cardinals Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Commanders at +152 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Arizona Cardinals are available at -180 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Cardinals are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 61% chance of prevailing.
Even though the Cardinals are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +152 odds on the Commanders moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Commanders vs. Cardinals
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Commanders vs. Cardinals matchup.
Washington Commanders Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Robinson | 60 yds | 50% |
| Jayden Daniels | 44 yds | 51% |
| Jeremy McNichols | 9 yds | 7% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Terry McLaurin | 60 yds | 29% |
| Noah Brown | 35 yds | 23% |
| Brian Robinson | 30 yds | 50% |
Luke McCaffrey Under 2.5 Receptions (-178)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luke McCaffrey Under 2.5 Receptions | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -178 |
- Our top prop bet for the Commanders is for Luke McCaffrey to record under 2.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 86.2%, giving us an edge of 22.2% on the -178 odds offered by FanDuel.
Arizona Cardinals Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| James Conner | 73 yds | 54% |
| Kyler Murray | 36 yds | 35% |
| Trey Benson | 15 yds | 13% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Marvin Harrison | 65 yds | 48% |
| Greg Dortch | 42 yds | 23% |
| Michael Wilson | 36 yds | 25% |
Michael Wilson Under 3.5 Receptions (+115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Wilson Under 3.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +115 |
- Our best prop bet for the Cardinals is for Michael Wilson to record under 3.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 71.9%, giving us an edge of 25.3% on the +115 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Commanders vs. Cardinals Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Commanders vs. Cardinals trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Kyler Murray Over 20.5 Passing Completions
Kyler Murray has recorded more than 20.5 passing completions in 6 of his last 7 appearances (86% success rate). You can put money on him to go over 20.5 passing completions again at odds of -114 (53% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
James Conner Over 15.5 Rushing Attempts
James Conner has had more than 15.5 rushing attempts in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 15.5 rushing attempts again at odds of -128 (56%), also available at FanDuel.
Kyler Murray Over 32.5 Rushing Yards
Kyler Murray has had more than 32.5 rushing yards in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can wager on him to record over 32.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Michael Wilson of the Cardinals to record Receptions 3.5 receptions, with an edge of 25.3% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Cardinals -3.5 to cover.
Beyond our Commanders vs. Cardinals predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL betting odds and insightful NFL predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the NFL best bets today and dive into NFL sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NFL betting sites.
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