Commanders vs. Buccaneers Picks & Best Bets 8th Sep 2024: NFL Week 1 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will host the Washington Commanders in NFL action on Sunday at Raymond James Stadium, starting at 4:25 p.m. ET.
We run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to identify the best Commanders vs. Buccaneers bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Buccaneers will likely win with a projected final score of 23-19.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Commanders vs. Buccaneers Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Commanders vs. Buccaneers picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Commanders vs. Buccaneers Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, September 8th, 2024
- Game Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Location: Raymond James Stadium
- Spread: Commanders +3.5 / Buccaneers -3.5
- Moneyline: Commanders +176 / Buccaneers -198
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 42.5 Points (-105/-115)
Buccaneers -3.5 @ -115 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Buccaneers have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Commanders have a probability of 48%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -115.
Total Points Over 42.5 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis suggests a 53% chance that the total will go over 42.5 points, providing an edge of 1.9%.
Commanders vs. Buccaneers Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Commanders at +176 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are available at -198 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Buccaneers are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 64% chance of coming out on top.
Even though the Buccaneers are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +176 odds on the Commanders moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Commanders vs. Buccaneers
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Commanders vs. Buccaneers game.
Washington Commanders Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Robinson | 51 yds | 34% |
| Jayden Daniels | 33 yds | 40% |
| Austin Ekeler | 26 yds | 30% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Terry McLaurin | 62 yds | 25% |
| Dyami Brown | 25 yds | 14% |
| Austin Ekeler | 22 yds | 30% |
Jayden Daniels Under 40.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels Under 40.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -105 |
- Our top prop bet for the Commanders is for Jayden Daniels to record under 40.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 76.5%, providing an edge of 25.3% on the -105 odds offered by FanDuel.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Rachaad White | 53 yds | 45% |
| Bucky Irving | 23 yds | 18% |
| Baker Mayfield | 12 yds | 19% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Evans | 60 yds | 42% |
| Chris Godwin | 59 yds | 29% |
| Cade Otton | 36 yds | 26% |
Mike Evans Under 69.5 Receiving Yards (-105)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Evans Under 69.5 Receiving Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -105 |
- Our best prop bet for the Buccaneers is for Mike Evans to record under 69.5 receiving yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 65.3%, giving us an edge of 14.1% on the -105 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Commanders vs. Buccaneers Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Commanders vs. Buccaneers trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Austin Ekeler Over 7.5 Rushing Attempts
Austin Ekeler has recorded more than 7.5 rushing attempts in 9 of his last 10 games (90% of the time). You can bet on him to go over 7.5 rushing attempts again at odds of -102 (50% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Baker Mayfield Over 246.5 Passing Yards
Baker Mayfield has had more than 246.5 passing yards in 5 of his last 6 games (83%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 246.5 passing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at Bet365.
Brian Robinson Over 8.5 Receiving Yards
Brian Robinson has had more than 8.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 games (83%). You can wager on him to record over 8.5 receiving yards again at odds of -115 (53%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jayden Daniels of the Commanders to record Rushing Yards 40.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 25.3% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Buccaneers -3.5 to cover.
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