Commanders vs. Buccaneers Picks & Best Bets 12th Jan 2025: NFL Week 19 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will go up against the Washington Commanders in NFL action on Sunday at Raymond James Stadium, beginning at 8:00 p.m. ET.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to determine the best Commanders vs. Buccaneers bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Buccaneers will likely defeat the Commanders with a projected final score of 27-24.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Commanders vs. Buccaneers Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Commanders vs. Buccaneers picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Commanders vs. Buccaneers Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, January 12th, 2025
- Game Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Raymond James Stadium
- Spread: Commanders +3 / Buccaneers -3
- Moneyline: Commanders +138 / Buccaneers -155
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 51.5 Points (-106/-110)
Buccaneers -3 @ -108 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Commanders and Buccaneers have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Buccaneers -3 based on FanDuel Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -108.
Total Points Over 51.5 @ -106 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 51.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -106.
- Our analysis indicates a slightly higher probability that the total will go over 51.5 points.
Commanders vs. Buccaneers Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Commanders at +138 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are available at -155 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Buccaneers are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 61% chance of coming out on top.
Additionally, the Buccaneers present the best betting value, with the odds of -155 available at DraftKings Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Commanders vs. Buccaneers
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Commanders vs. Buccaneers game.
Washington Commanders Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Robinson | 62 yds | 39% |
| Jayden Daniels | 43 yds | 40% |
| Austin Ekeler | 25 yds | 18% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Terry McLaurin | 68 yds | 39% |
| Zach Ertz | 48 yds | 26% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | 35 yds | 23% |
Jayden Daniels Under 54.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels Under 54.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Commanders is for Jayden Daniels to record under 54.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 80.8%, giving us an edge of 28.4% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Bucky Irving | 90 yds | 58% |
| Baker Mayfield | 17 yds | 19% |
| Rachaad White | 15 yds | 19% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Evans | 78 yds | 52% |
| Jalen McMillan | 52 yds | 32% |
| Cade Otton | 36 yds | 22% |
Baker Mayfield Under 19.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield Under 19.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Buccaneers is for Baker Mayfield to record under 19.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 67.1%, giving us an edge of 14.7% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Commanders vs. Buccaneers Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Commanders vs. Buccaneers trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Baker Mayfield Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Baker Mayfield has recorded more than 1.5 passing touchdowns in 5 of his last 5 games (100% of the time). You can put money on him to record 2+ passing touchdowns again at odds of -168 (63% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
John Bates Over 0.5 Receiving Yards
John Bates has recorded at least one receiving yards in 7 of his last 9 games (78%). You can place a bet on him to get another one at odds of +120 (45%), available at Bet365.
Rachaad White Over 14.5 Rushing Yards
Rachaad White has had more than 14.5 rushing yards in 8 of his last 10 appearances (80%). You can wager on him to record over 14.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jayden Daniels of the Commanders to record Rushing Yards 54.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 28.4% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Buccaneers -3 to cover.
Beyond our Commanders vs. Buccaneers predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets today and dive into our NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.
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