Commanders vs. Bengals Picks & Best Bets 23rd Sep 2024: NFL Week 3 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cincinnati Bengals will go up against the Washington Commanders in NFL action on Monday at Paycor Stadium, starting at 8:15 p.m. ET.

We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Monday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to pinpoint the best Commanders vs. Bengals bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Bengals will likely defeat the Commanders with a projected final score of 26-19.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Commanders vs. Bengals Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Commanders vs. Bengals picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to create NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Commanders vs. Bengals Game Information

• Game Date: Monday, September 23rd, 2024
• Game Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Location: Paycor Stadium
• Spread: Commanders +7.5 / Bengals -7.5
• Moneyline: Commanders +285 / Bengals -350
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 46 Points (-108/-112)

Commanders +7.5 @ -115 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Commanders have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Bengals have a probability of 44%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -115 for the Commanders +7.5, presenting a favorable 2.3% edge for them to cover.

Total Points Over 46 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total points scored is set at 46 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -108.
• Our analysis suggests a slightly higher likelihood that the total will go over 46 points.

Commanders vs. Bengals Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Washington Commanders at +285 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Cincinnati Bengals are available at -350 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Bengals are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 73% chance of prevailing.

Even though the Bengals are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +285 odds on the Commanders moneyline, providing an edge of 1.1%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Commanders vs. Bengals

Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Monday's Commanders vs. Bengals game.

Washington Commanders Prediction

Jayden Daniels Under 49.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

• Our top prop bet for the Commanders is for Jayden Daniels to record under 49.5 rushing yards.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 77.9%, providing an edge of 24.4% on the -115 odds offered by DraftKings.

Cincinnati Bengals Prediction

Chase Brown Over 8.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

• Our best prop bet for the Bengals is for Chase Brown to record over 8.5 receiving yards.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 80.6%, giving us an edge of 28.2% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.

These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Commanders vs. Bengals Betting Trends

In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Commanders vs. Bengals trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Austin Ekeler Over 18.5 Receiving Yards

Austin Ekeler has recorded more than 18.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 7 games (86% of the time). You can put money on him to record 19+ receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at FanDuel.

Drew Sample Over 6.5 Receiving Yards

Drew Sample has had more than 6.5 receiving yards in 8 of his last 10 games (80%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 6.5 receiving yards again at odds of -105 (51%), available at DraftKings.

Austin Ekeler Over 5.5 Rushing Attempts

Austin Ekeler has had more than 5.5 rushing attempts in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can bet on him to record over 5.5 rushing attempts again at odds of -105 (51%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Chase Brown of the Bengals to record Receiving Yards 8.5 receiving yards, with a projection of 23 receiving yards marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Commanders +7.5 to cover.

In addition to our Commanders vs. Bengals predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds for today and insightful NFL predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets tonight and dive into Kyle Odegard's NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online NFL betting sites.