Colts vs. Texans Picks & Best Bets 27th Oct 2024: NFL Week 8 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Houston Texans will host the Indianapolis Colts in NFL action on Sunday at NRG Stadium, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We've performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to highlight the best Colts vs. Texans bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Texans will likely beat the Colts with a projected final score of 24-20.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Colts vs. Texans Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Colts vs. Texans picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Colts vs. Texans Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, October 27th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: NRG Stadium
- Spread: Colts +4.5 / Texans -4.5
- Moneyline: Colts +200 / Texans -225
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 45 Points (-112/-108)
Texans -4.5 @ -112 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Texans have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the Colts have a probability of 49%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -112.
Total Points Under 45 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 45, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -108.
- Our analysis indicates a slightly higher likelihood that the total will stay under 45 points.
Colts vs. Texans Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Indianapolis Colts at +200 via BetMGM, whilst the Houston Texans are available at -225 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Texans are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 68% chance of victory.
Even though the Texans are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +200 odds on the Colts moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Colts vs. Texans
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Colts vs. Texans game.
Indianapolis Colts Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | 79 yds | 51% |
| Anthony Richardson | 35 yds | 37% |
| Trey Sermon | 11 yds | 6% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Downs | 47 yds | 23% |
| Michael Pittman | 45 yds | 26% |
| Alec Pierce | 31 yds | 20% |
Joe Mixon Over 2.5 Receptions (-102)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Mixon Over 2.5 Receptions | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -102 |
- Our top prop bet for the Colts is for Joe Mixon to record over 2.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 71.4%, giving us an edge of 20.9% on the -102 odds offered by FanDuel.
Houston Texans Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Mixon | 74 yds | 58% |
| Dameon Pierce | 19 yds | 18% |
| C.J. Stroud | 14 yds | 19% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Stefon Diggs | 58 yds | 41% |
| Tank Dell | 53 yds | 37% |
| Dalton Schultz | 38 yds | 26% |
Joe Mixon Over 2.5 Receptions (-102)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Mixon Over 2.5 Receptions | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -102 |
- Our best prop bet for the Texans is for Joe Mixon to record over 2.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 71.4%, providing an edge of 20.9% on the -102 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Colts vs. Texans Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Colts vs. Texans trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Jonathan Taylor Over 67.5 Rushing Yards
Jonathan Taylor has recorded more than 67.5 rushing yards in 5 of his last 6 appearances (83% of the time). You can bet on him to record 68+ rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
C.J. Stroud Over 10.5 Rushing Yards
C.J. Stroud has had more than 10.5 rushing yards in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can place a wager on him to record over 10.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at Bet365.
Stefon Diggs Over 59.5 Receiving Yards
Stefon Diggs has had more than 59.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80%). You can bet on him to record over 59.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Joe Mixon of the Colts to record Receptions 2.5 receptions, with an edge of 20.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Texans -4.5 to cover.
In addition to our Colts vs. Texans predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NFL best bets and dive into our NFL expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NFL betting sites.
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