Colts vs. Patriots Picks & Best Bets 1st Dec 2024: NFL Week 13 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The New England Patriots will face the Indianapolis Colts in NFL action on Sunday at Gillette Stadium, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using innovative AI technology to identify the best Colts vs. Patriots bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Colts will likely win with a projected final score of 21-19.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Colts vs. Patriots Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Colts vs. Patriots picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Colts vs. Patriots Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, December 1st, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Gillette Stadium
- Spread: Colts -2.5 / Patriots +2.5
- Moneyline: Colts -130 / Patriots +120
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 41 Points (-108/-112)
Patriots +2.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, both the Colts and Patriots have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Patriots +2.5 due to BetMGM's more favorable odds of -105.
Total Points Over 41 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 41, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -108.
- Our analysis suggests a slightly higher probability that the total will go over 41 points.
Colts vs. Patriots Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Indianapolis Colts at -130 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the New England Patriots are available at +120 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Colts are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 59% chance of prevailing.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Colts also present the best betting value, with the odds of -130 available at DraftKings Sportsbook for an edge of 2.5%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Colts vs. Patriots
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Colts vs. Patriots game.
Indianapolis Colts Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | 75 yds | 52% |
| Anthony Richardson | 36 yds | 44% |
| Trey Sermon | 8 yds | 4% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Pittman | 51 yds | 31% |
| Adonai Mitchell | 46 yds | 26% |
| Alec Pierce | 42 yds | 29% |
Anthony Richardson Under 44.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Richardson Under 44.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -115 |
- Our top prop bet for the Colts is for Anthony Richardson to record under 44.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 76.3%, giving us an edge of 22.8% on the -115 odds offered by DraftKings.
New England Patriots Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 58 yds | 39% |
| Drake Maye | 26 yds | 21% |
| Antonio Gibson | 12 yds | 13% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| DeMario Douglas | 46 yds | 22% |
| Hunter Henry | 42 yds | 26% |
| Kayshon Boutte | 40 yds | 26% |
Drake Maye Under 226.5 Passing Yards (-114)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye Under 226.5 Passing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -114 |
- Our best prop bet for the Patriots is for Drake Maye to record under 226.5 passing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 67.6%, giving us an edge of 14.4% on the -114 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Colts vs. Patriots Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Colts vs. Patriots trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Alec Pierce Over 31.5 Receiving Yards
Alec Pierce has recorded more than 31.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80% success rate). You can put money on him to record 32+ receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Anthony Richardson Over 43.5 Rushing Yards
Anthony Richardson has had more than 43.5 rushing yards in 3 of his last 5 games (60%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 43.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
Demario Douglas Over 40.5 Receiving Yards
Demario Douglas has had more than 40.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 8 appearances (62%). You can bet on him to record over 40.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Anthony Richardson of the Colts to record Rushing Yards 44.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 22.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Patriots +2.5 to cover.
Beyond our Colts vs. Patriots predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds tonight and insightful NFL predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NFL bets tonight and dive into Kyle Odegard's NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NFL betting sites.
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