Colts vs. Jaguars Picks & Best Bets 6th Oct 2024: NFL Week 5 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Jacksonville Jaguars will meet the Indianapolis Colts in NFL action on Sunday at EverBank Stadium, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to highlight the best Colts vs. Jaguars bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Jaguars will likely beat the Colts with a projected final score of 24-20.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Colts vs. Jaguars Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Colts vs. Jaguars picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Colts vs. Jaguars Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, October 6th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: EverBank Stadium
- Spread: Colts +4 / Jaguars -4
- Moneyline: Colts +166 / Jaguars -190
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 44.5 Points (-110/-110)
Colts +4 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Colts have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Jaguars have a probability of 48%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -108 for the Colts +4, providing a favorable 0.5% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Over 44.5 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -110.
- Our analysis shows a 52% probability of the 44.5-point total going over.
Colts vs. Jaguars Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Indianapolis Colts at +166 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Jacksonville Jaguars are available at -190 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Jaguars are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 63% chance of victory.
Although the Jaguars are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +166 odds on the Colts moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Colts vs. Jaguars
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Colts vs. Jaguars matchup.
Indianapolis Colts Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Trey Sermon | 60 yds | 45% |
Tyler Goodson | 23 yds | 25% |
Joe Flacco | 7 yds | 0% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Michael Pittman | 60 yds | 39% |
Josh Downs | 51 yds | 32% |
Alec Pierce | 30 yds | 19% |
Josh Downs Under 4.5 Receptions (+125)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Josh Downs Under 4.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +125 |
- Our top prop bet for the Colts is for Josh Downs to record under 4.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 58.0%, giving us an edge of 13.6% on the +125 odds offered by DraftKings.
Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Travis Etienne | 50 yds | 43% |
Tank Bigsby | 32 yds | 28% |
Trevor Lawrence | 18 yds | 24% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Christian Kirk | 71 yds | 37% |
Brian Thomas | 54 yds | 37% |
Gabe Davis | 49 yds | 32% |
Gabe Davis Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Gabe Davis Over 34.5 Receiving Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Jaguars is for Gabe Davis to record over 34.5 receiving yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 72.2%, giving us an edge of 19.9% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Gabe Davis of the Jaguars to record Receiving Yards 34.5 receiving yards, with a projection of 49 receiving yards marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Colts +4 to cover.
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