Colts vs. Broncos Picks & Best Bets 15th Dec 2024: NFL Week 15 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Denver Broncos will face the Indianapolis Colts in NFL action on Sunday at Empower Field at Mile High, starting at 4:25 p.m. ET.
We conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using advanced AI technology to reveal the best Colts vs. Broncos bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Broncos will likely beat the Colts with a projected final score of 24-19.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Colts vs. Broncos Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Colts vs. Broncos picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Colts vs. Broncos Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, December 15th, 2024
- Game Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Location: Empower Field at Mile High
- Spread: Colts +4.5 / Broncos -4.5
- Moneyline: Colts +190 / Broncos -225
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 44 Points (-110/-110)
Colts +4.5 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Colts and Broncos have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Colts +4.5 based on DraftKings Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -105.
Total Points Under 44 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 44 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at -110.
- Our analysis indicates a 52% probability that the total will stay under 44 points.
Colts vs. Broncos Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Indianapolis Colts at +190 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Denver Broncos are available at -225 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Broncos are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 68% chance of coming out on top.
Additionally, the Broncos present the best betting value, with the odds of -225 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Colts vs. Broncos
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Colts vs. Broncos game.
Indianapolis Colts Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | 74 yds | 45% |
| Anthony Richardson | 36 yds | 43% |
| Trey Sermon | 8 yds | 4% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Pittman | 58 yds | 22% |
| Josh Downs | 54 yds | 30% |
| Alec Pierce | 38 yds | 22% |
Anthony Richardson Under 45.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Richardson Under 45.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Colts is for Anthony Richardson to record under 45.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 79.4%, providing an edge of 27.0% on the -110 odds offered by DraftKings.
Denver Broncos Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | 34 yds | 30% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | 25 yds | 21% |
| Bo Nix | 20 yds | 20% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 71 yds | 42% |
| Devaughn Vele | 48 yds | 35% |
| Marvin Mims | 30 yds | 19% |
Lil'Jordan Humphrey Over 11.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey Over 11.5 Receiving Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Broncos is for Lil'Jordan Humphrey to record over 11.5 receiving yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 81.2%, providing an edge of 28.8% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Colts vs. Broncos Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Colts vs. Broncos trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Josh Downs Over 48.5 Receiving Yards
Josh Downs has recorded more than 48.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 games (80% of the time). You can bet on him to go over 48.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Anthony Richardson Over 44.5 Rushing Yards
Anthony Richardson has had more than 44.5 rushing yards in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can place a wager on him to record over 44.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at FanDuel.
Alec Pierce Over 27.5 Receiving Yards
Alec Pierce has had more than 27.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80%). You can bet on him to record over 27.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Lil'Jordan Humphrey of the Broncos to record Receiving Yards 11.5 receiving yards, with a projection of 29 receiving yards marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Colts +4.5 to cover.
In addition to our Colts vs. Broncos predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL betting odds and insightful NFL predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the NFL best bets today and dive into NFL sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online NFL betting sites.
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