Chiefs vs. Steelers Picks & Best Bets 25th Dec 2024: NFL Week 17 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Pittsburgh Steelers will face the Kansas City Chiefs in NFL action on Wednesday at Acrisure Stadium, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's NFL matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to reveal the best Chiefs vs. Steelers bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Chiefs will likely win with a projected final score of 23-21.
To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Chiefs vs. Steelers Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Chiefs vs. Steelers picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Chiefs vs. Steelers Game Information
- Game Date: Wednesday, December 25th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Acrisure Stadium
- Spread: Chiefs -1.5 / Steelers +1.5
- Moneyline: Chiefs -130 / Steelers +112
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 45.5 Points (-120/-102)
Chiefs -1.5 @ -115 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Chiefs have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Steelers have a probability of 48%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -115.
Total Points Under 45.5 @ -102 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 45.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -102.
- Our analysis indicates a 51% chance of the 45.5-point total staying under, providing an edge of 0.1%.
Chiefs vs. Steelers Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Kansas City Chiefs at -130 via BetMGM, whilst the Pittsburgh Steelers are available at +112 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Chiefs are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 57% chance of coming out on top.
Additionally, the Chiefs present the best betting value, with the odds of -130 available at BetMGM, presenting an edge of 0.9%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Chiefs vs. Steelers
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Wednesday's Chiefs vs. Steelers game.
Kansas City Chiefs Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Isiah Pacheco | 45 yds | 32% |
Kareem Hunt | 25 yds | 32% |
Patrick Mahomes | 19 yds | 16% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Travis Kelce | 59 yds | 27% |
DeAndre Hopkins | 53 yds | 30% |
Xavier Worthy | 46 yds | 31% |
Kareem Hunt Under 32.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Kareem Hunt Under 32.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Chiefs is for Kareem Hunt to record under 32.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 78.5%, providing an edge of 26.2% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Najee Harris | 50 yds | 35% |
Jaylen Warren | 46 yds | 31% |
Russell Wilson | 14 yds | 24% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
George Pickens | 55 yds | 35% |
Pat Freiermuth | 35 yds | 22% |
Calvin Austin | 34 yds | 20% |
Jaylen Warren Over 33.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Jaylen Warren Over 33.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Steelers is for Jaylen Warren to record over 33.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 81.7%, giving us an edge of 29.3% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Chiefs vs. Steelers Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Chiefs vs. Steelers trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Darnell Washington Over 3.5 Receiving Yards
Darnell Washington has recorded more than 3.5 receiving yards in 9 of his last 10 appearances (90% of the time). You can put money on him to go over 3.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Kareem Hunt Over 9.5 Rushing Attempts
Kareem Hunt has had more than 9.5 rushing attempts in 8 of his last 10 games (80%). You can place a wager on him to record over 9.5 rushing attempts again at odds of +122 (45%), available at FanDuel.
Patrick Mahomes Over 36.5 Passing Attempts
Patrick Mahomes has had more than 36.5 passing attempts in 5 of his last 5 appearances (100%). You can wager on him to record over 36.5 passing attempts again at odds of +100 (50%), again available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jaylen Warren of the Steelers to record Rushing Yards 33.5 rushing yards, with a projection of 46 rushing yards marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Chiefs -1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Chiefs vs. Steelers predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds tonight and insightful NFL predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NFL best bets and dive into our NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online NFL betting sites.