Chiefs vs. Browns Picks & Best Bets 15th Dec 2024: NFL Week 15 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Cleveland Browns will meet the Kansas City Chiefs in NFL action on Sunday at Huntington Bank Field, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using advanced AI technology to highlight the best Chiefs vs. Browns bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Chiefs will likely defeat the Browns with a projected final score of 22-19.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Chiefs vs. Browns Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Chiefs vs. Browns picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to generate NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Chiefs vs. Browns Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, December 15th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Huntington Bank Field
- Spread: Chiefs -4.5 / Browns +4.5
- Moneyline: Chiefs -225 / Browns +190
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 41 Points (-110/-110)
Browns +4.5 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Browns have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Chiefs have a probability of 48%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -110.
Total Points Over 41 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 41, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -110.
- Our analysis shows a 52% probability that the total will go over 41 points.
Chiefs vs. Browns Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Kansas City Chiefs at -225 via BetMGM, whilst the Cleveland Browns are available at +190 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Chiefs are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 65% chance of victory.
Even though the Chiefs are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +190 odds on the Browns moneyline, providing an edge of 0.8%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Chiefs vs. Browns
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Chiefs vs. Browns game.
Kansas City Chiefs Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Isiah Pacheco | 58 yds | 45% |
| Patrick Mahomes | 18 yds | 15% |
| Kareem Hunt | 14 yds | 23% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | 66 yds | 27% |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 53 yds | 33% |
| Xavier Worthy | 40 yds | 27% |
Kareem Hunt Under 22.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Hunt Under 22.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Chiefs is for Kareem Hunt to record under 22.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 80.9%, providing an edge of 28.5% on the -110 odds offered by DraftKings.
Cleveland Browns Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | 52 yds | 31% |
| Jerome Ford | 26 yds | 24% |
| Jameis Winston | 11 yds | 12% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jerry Jeudy | 71 yds | 33% |
| David Njoku | 47 yds | 27% |
| Elijah Moore | 45 yds | 27% |
Jerome Ford Under 31.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Ford Under 31.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Browns is for Jerome Ford to record under 31.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 73.4%, providing an edge of 21.0% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Chiefs vs. Browns Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Chiefs vs. Browns trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Patrick Mahomes Over 23.5 Passing Completions
Patrick Mahomes has recorded more than 23.5 passing completions in 6 of his last 7 appearances (86% of the time). You can put money on him to record 24+ passing completions again at odds of +108 (48% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Patrick Mahomes Over 35.5 Passing Attempts
Patrick Mahomes has had more than 35.5 passing attempts in 6 of his last 7 games (86%). You can place a bet on him to record over 35.5 passing attempts again at odds of -102 (50%), also available at FanDuel.
Kareem Hunt Over 22.5 Rushing Yards
Kareem Hunt has had more than 22.5 rushing yards in 8 of his last 10 games (80%). You can wager on him to record over 22.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Kareem Hunt of the Chiefs to record Rushing Yards 22.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 28.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Browns +4.5 to cover.
In addition to our Chiefs vs. Browns predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets today and dive into our NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online NFL betting sites.
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