Chargers vs. Texans Picks & Best Bets 11th Jan 2025: NFL Week 19 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Houston Texans will host the Los Angeles Chargers in NFL action on Saturday at NRG Stadium, beginning at 4:30 p.m. ET.
We run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's NFL matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to reveal the best Chargers vs. Texans bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Chargers will likely beat the Texans with a projected final score of 22-19.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Chargers vs. Texans Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Chargers vs. Texans picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Chargers vs. Texans Game Information
- Game Date: Saturday, January 11th, 2025
- Game Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
- Location: NRG Stadium
- Spread: Chargers -2.5 / Texans +2.5
- Moneyline: Chargers -160 / Texans +142
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 42.5 Points (-110/-110)
Chargers -2.5 @ -120 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Chargers have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Texans have a probability of 44%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -120 for the Chargers -2.5, presenting a favorable 1.9% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Under 42.5 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -110.
- Our analysis suggests a 52% probability that the total will stay under 42.5 points.
Chargers vs. Texans Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Los Angeles Chargers at -160 via BetMGM, whilst the Houston Texans are available at +142 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Chargers are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 62% chance of coming out on top.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Chargers also present the best betting value, with the odds of -160 available at BetMGM for an edge of 0.7%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Chargers vs. Texans
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Saturday's Chargers vs. Texans matchup.
Los Angeles Chargers Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
J.K. Dobbins | 72 yds | 42% |
Gus Edwards | 18 yds | 15% |
Justin Herbert | 15 yds | 21% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Ladd McConkey | 64 yds | 33% |
Quentin Johnston | 53 yds | 31% |
Will Dissly | 33 yds | 19% |
Justin Herbert Under 20.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Justin Herbert Under 20.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Chargers is for Justin Herbert to record under 20.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 75.1%, giving us an edge of 22.7% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
Houston Texans Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Joe Mixon | 69 yds | 49% |
C.J. Stroud | 13 yds | 16% |
Dameon Pierce | 7 yds | 4% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Nico Collins | 86 yds | 44% |
Dalton Schultz | 36 yds | 22% |
John Metchie | 33 yds | 19% |
Diontae Johnson Under 1.5 Receptions (+130)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Diontae Johnson Under 1.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +130 |
- Our best prop bet for the Texans is for Diontae Johnson to record under 1.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 59.8%, providing an edge of 16.3% on the +130 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Chargers vs. Texans Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Chargers vs. Texans trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Stone Smartt Over 5.5 Receiving Yards
Stone Smartt has recorded more than 5.5 receiving yards in 9 of his last 10 games (90% of the time). You can put money on him to record 6+ receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Justin Herbert Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Justin Herbert has had more than 1.5 passing touchdowns in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80%). You can place a bet on him to record over 1.5 passing touchdowns again at odds of +110 (48%), available at FanDuel.
Robert Woods Over 11.5 Receiving Yards
Robert Woods has had more than 11.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80%). You can wager on him to record over 11.5 receiving yards again at odds of -105 (51%), available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Justin Herbert of the Chargers to record Rushing Yards 20.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 22.7% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Chargers -2.5 to cover.
In addition to our Chargers vs. Texans predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets today and dive into NFL sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.