Chargers vs. Steelers Picks & Best Bets 22nd Sep 2024: NFL Week 3 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Pittsburgh Steelers will go up against the Los Angeles Chargers in NFL action on Sunday at Acrisure Stadium, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We have performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to determine the best Chargers vs. Steelers bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Steelers will likely beat the Chargers with a projected final score of 19-17.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Chargers vs. Steelers Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Chargers vs. Steelers picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Chargers vs. Steelers Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, September 22nd, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Acrisure Stadium
- Spread: Chargers +2.5 / Steelers -2.5
- Moneyline: Chargers +124 / Steelers -145
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 35.5 Points (-105/-115)
Chargers +2.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Chargers have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Steelers have a probability of 48%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -105 for the Chargers +2.5, presenting a favorable 0.5% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Over 35.5 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 35.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis suggests a 51% chance of the 35.5-point total going over.
Chargers vs. Steelers Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Los Angeles Chargers at +124 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Pittsburgh Steelers are available at -145 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Steelers are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 60% chance of victory.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Steelers also present the best betting value, with the odds of -145 available at BetMGM, presenting an edge of 0.7%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Chargers vs. Steelers
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Chargers vs. Steelers matchup.
Los Angeles Chargers Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | 77 yds | 35% |
| Gus Edwards | 38 yds | 30% |
| Justin Herbert | 11 yds | 13% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Ladd McConkey | 42 yds | 24% |
| Quentin Johnston | 33 yds | 19% |
| Joshua Palmer | 28 yds | 18% |
J.K. Dobbins Over 56.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins Over 56.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Chargers is for J.K. Dobbins to record over 56.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 70.1%, giving us an edge of 17.7% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Najee Harris | 62 yds | 39% |
| Justin Fields | 46 yds | 25% |
| Jaylen Warren | 35 yds | 27% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| George Pickens | 49 yds | 32% |
| Pat Freiermuth | 33 yds | 20% |
| Van Jefferson | 20 yds | 12% |
Jaylen Warren Over 26.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren Over 26.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Steelers is for Jaylen Warren to record over 26.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 74.1%, providing an edge of 21.7% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Chargers vs. Steelers Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Chargers vs. Steelers trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
J.K. Dobbins Over 56.5 Rushing Yards
J.K. Dobbins has recorded more than 56.5 rushing yards in 7 of his last 8 games (88% of the time). You can put money on him to record 57+ rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Jaylen Warren Over 15.5 Receiving Yards
Jaylen Warren has had more than 15.5 receiving yards in 7 of his last 8 appearances (88%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 15.5 receiving yards again at odds of -105 (51%), available at DraftKings.
Pat Freiermuth Over 24.5 Receiving Yards
Pat Freiermuth has had more than 24.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80%). You can bet on him to record over 24.5 receiving yards again at odds of -105 (51%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jaylen Warren of the Steelers to record Rushing Yards 26.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 21.7% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Chargers +2.5 to cover.
Beyond our Chargers vs. Steelers predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NFL bets and dive into our NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.
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