Chargers vs. Patriots Picks & Best Bets 28th Dec 2024: NFL Week 17 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New England Patriots will host the Los Angeles Chargers in NFL action on Saturday at Gillette Stadium, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We conducted 10,000 simulations of Saturday's NFL matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to highlight the best Chargers vs. Patriots bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Chargers will likely beat the Patriots with a projected final score of 23-18.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Chargers vs. Patriots Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Chargers vs. Patriots picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to generate NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Chargers vs. Patriots Game Information
- Game Date: Saturday, December 28th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Gillette Stadium
- Spread: Chargers -6 / Patriots +6
- Moneyline: Chargers -275 / Patriots +240
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 41.5 Points (-110/-110)
Patriots +6 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Patriots have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Chargers have a probability of 47%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -102 for the Patriots +6, providing a favorable 2.2% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Over 41.5 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 41.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -110.
- Our analysis indicates a 52% probability that the total will go over 41.5 points.
Chargers vs. Patriots Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Los Angeles Chargers at -275 via BetMGM, whilst the New England Patriots are available at +240 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Chargers are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 71% chance of victory.
Even though the Chargers are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +240 odds on the Patriots moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Chargers vs. Patriots
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Saturday's Chargers vs. Patriots game.
Los Angeles Chargers Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
J.K. Dobbins | 81 yds | 44% |
Kimani Vidal | 20 yds | 14% |
Justin Herbert | 14 yds | 23% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Ladd McConkey | 61 yds | 33% |
Quentin Johnston | 38 yds | 26% |
Will Dissly | 31 yds | 25% |
Kimani Vidal Under 27.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Kimani Vidal Under 27.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Chargers is for Kimani Vidal to record under 27.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 78.1%, providing an edge of 25.7% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
New England Patriots Prediction
Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Rhamondre Stevenson | 48 yds | 30% |
Antonio Gibson | 28 yds | 22% |
Drake Maye | 26 yds | 20% |
Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
---|---|---|
Kayshon Boutte | 42 yds | 24% |
Hunter Henry | 41 yds | 23% |
DeMario Douglas | 36 yds | 18% |
Antonio Gibson Under 31.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Antonio Gibson Under 31.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Patriots is for Antonio Gibson to record under 31.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 68.1%, giving us an edge of 15.7% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Chargers vs. Patriots Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Chargers vs. Patriots trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Stone Smartt Over 9.5 Receiving Yards
Stone Smartt has recorded more than 9.5 receiving yards in 9 of his last 10 games (90% success rate). You can wager on him to record 10+ receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Kendrick Bourne Over 21.5 Receiving Yards
Kendrick Bourne has had more than 21.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 appearances (83%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 21.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at Bet365.
Rhamondre Stevenson Over 10.5 Receiving Yards
Rhamondre Stevenson has had more than 10.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can wager on him to record over 10.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Kimani Vidal of the Chargers to record Rushing Yards 27.5 rushing yards, with an edge of 25.7% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Patriots +6 to cover.
In addition to our Chargers vs. Patriots predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best NFL bets and dive into our NFL expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.