Chargers vs. Broncos Picks & Best Bets 13th Oct 2024: NFL Week 6 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Denver Broncos will host the Los Angeles Chargers in NFL action on Sunday at Empower Field at Mile High, beginning at 4:05 p.m. ET.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using advanced AI technology to identify the best Chargers vs. Broncos bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Chargers will likely defeat the Broncos with a projected final score of 20-17.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Chargers vs. Broncos Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Chargers vs. Broncos picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Chargers vs. Broncos Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, October 13th, 2024
- Game Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
- Location: Empower Field at Mile High
- Spread: Chargers -3 / Broncos +3
- Moneyline: Chargers -154 / Broncos +130
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 37.5 Points (-106/-114)
Chargers -3 @ -104 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, both the Chargers and Broncos have a 50% chance of covering the spread in this matchup.
- We prefer the Chargers -3 based on FanDuel Sportsbook's more favorable odds of -104.
Total Points Under 37.5 @ -114 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 37.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -114.
- Our analysis suggests a 52% chance of the 37.5-point total staying under.
Chargers vs. Broncos Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Los Angeles Chargers at -154 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Denver Broncos are available at +130 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Chargers are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 63% chance of coming out on top.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Chargers also present the best betting value, with the odds of -154 available at FanDuel Sportsbook for an edge of 2.8%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Chargers vs. Broncos
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Chargers vs. Broncos game.
Los Angeles Chargers Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | 79 yds | 39% |
| Kimani Vidal | 19 yds | 13% |
| Justin Herbert | 14 yds | 22% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Ladd McConkey | 46 yds | 30% |
| Quentin Johnston | 33 yds | 24% |
| Joshua Palmer | 29 yds | 22% |
Will Dissly Over 10.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dissly Over 10.5 Receiving Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -115 |
- Our top prop bet for the Chargers is for Will Dissly to record over 10.5 receiving yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 71.3%, providing an edge of 17.8% on the -115 odds offered by DraftKings.
Denver Broncos Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | 51 yds | 33% |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | 28 yds | 18% |
| Bo Nix | 19 yds | 14% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 57 yds | 34% |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey | 35 yds | 22% |
| Troy Franklin | 17 yds | 10% |
Bo Nix Under 21.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Nix Under 21.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Broncos is for Bo Nix to record under 21.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 68.3%, providing an edge of 15.9% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Chargers vs. Broncos Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Chargers vs. Broncos trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Will Dissly Over 10.5 Receiving Yards
Will Dissly has recorded more than 10.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 5 appearances (100% of the time). You can put money on him to go over 10.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Adam Trautman Over 8.5 Receiving Yards
Adam Trautman has had more than 8.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 8.5 receiving yards again at odds of -115 (53%), also available at Bet365.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey Over 23.5 Receiving Yards
Lil'Jordan Humphrey has had more than 23.5 receiving yards in 3 of his last 5 games (60%). You can wager on him to record over 23.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Will Dissly of the Chargers to record Receiving Yards 10.5 receiving yards, with a projection of 24 receiving yards marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Chargers -3 to cover.
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