Buccaneers vs. Saints Picks & Best Bets 13th Oct 2024: NFL Week 6 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The New Orleans Saints will face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in NFL action on Sunday at Caesars Superdome, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using advanced AI technology to pinpoint the best Buccaneers vs. Saints bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Buccaneers will likely beat the Saints with a projected final score of 22-19.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Buccaneers vs. Saints Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Buccaneers vs. Saints picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Buccaneers vs. Saints Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, October 13th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome
- Spread: Buccaneers -3.5 / Saints +3.5
- Moneyline: Buccaneers -175 / Saints +156
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 42.5 Points (-104/-110)
Saints +3.5 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Saints have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the Buccaneers have a probability of 41%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -112 for the Saints +3.5, presenting a favorable 6% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Over 42.5 @ -104 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -104.
- Our analysis shows a slightly higher probability of the 42.5-point total going over.
Buccaneers vs. Saints Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at -175 via BetMGM, whilst the New Orleans Saints are available at +156 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Buccaneers are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 61% chance of prevailing.
Even though the Buccaneers are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +156 odds on the Saints moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Buccaneers vs. Saints
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Buccaneers vs. Saints matchup.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Bucky Irving | 64 yds | 48% |
| Sean Tucker | 17 yds | 17% |
| Baker Mayfield | 12 yds | 19% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Godwin | 62 yds | 42% |
| Mike Evans | 61 yds | 48% |
| Cade Otton | 36 yds | 26% |
Baker Mayfield Under 12.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield Under 12.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our top prop bet for the Buccaneers is for Baker Mayfield to record under 12.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 67.1%, providing an edge of 14.7% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
New Orleans Saints Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | 66 yds | 46% |
| Spencer Rattler | 19 yds | 42% |
| Jamaal Williams | 10 yds | 9% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Olave | 53 yds | 24% |
| Rashid Shaheed | 47 yds | 31% |
| Alvin Kamara | 25 yds | 46% |
Alvin Kamara Under 4.5 Receptions (-115)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara Under 4.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -115 |
- Our best prop bet for the Saints is for Alvin Kamara to record under 4.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 71.4%, giving us an edge of 17.9% on the -115 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Buccaneers vs. Saints Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have compiled the best Buccaneers vs. Saints trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Rashid Shaheed Over 37.5 Receiving Yards
Rashid Shaheed has recorded more than 37.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 appearances (83% success rate). You can bet on him to record 38+ receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Chris Godwin Over 63.5 Receiving Yards
Chris Godwin has had more than 63.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80%). You can place a bet on him to record over 63.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
Baker Mayfield Over 12.5 Rushing Yards
Baker Mayfield has had more than 12.5 rushing yards in 5 of his last 7 games (71%). You can bet on him to record over 12.5 rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Alvin Kamara of the Saints to record Receptions 4.5 receptions, with an edge of 17.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Saints +3.5 to cover.
Beyond our Buccaneers vs. Saints predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NFL bets and dive into Kyle Odegard's NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online NFL betting sites.
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