Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Picks & Best Bets 4th Nov 2024: NFL Week 9 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Kansas City Chiefs will take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in NFL action on Monday at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, beginning at 8:15 p.m. ET.
We've performed 10,000 simulations of Monday's NFL matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to identify the best Buccaneers vs. Chiefs bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Chiefs will likely defeat the Buccaneers with a projected final score of 26-18.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Buccaneers vs. Chiefs picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Game Information
- Game Date: Monday, November 4th, 2024
- Game Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
- Spread: Buccaneers +9.5 / Chiefs -9.5
- Moneyline: Buccaneers +350 / Chiefs -400
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 46 Points (-110/-110)
Chiefs -9.5 @ -102 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Chiefs have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the Chiefs have a probability of 49%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -102.
Total Points Under 46 @ -110 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 46, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -110.
- Our analysis shows a 51% probability that the total will stay under 46 points.
Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at +350 via BetMGM, whilst the Kansas City Chiefs are available at -400 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Chiefs are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 79% chance of prevailing.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Chiefs also present the best betting value, with the odds of -400 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Buccaneers vs. Chiefs
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Monday's Buccaneers vs. Chiefs matchup.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Bucky Irving | 44 yds | 39% |
| Rachaad White | 30 yds | 37% |
| Sean Tucker | 13 yds | 16% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Trey Palmer | 50 yds | 19% |
| Cade Otton | 48 yds | 37% |
| Sterling Shepard | 25 yds | 15% |
Rakim Jarrett Under 1.5 Receptions (-106)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rakim Jarrett Under 1.5 Receptions | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -106 |
- Our top prop bet for the Buccaneers is for Rakim Jarrett to record under 1.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 76.6%, giving us an edge of 25.2% on the -106 odds offered by FanDuel.
Kansas City Chiefs Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Kareem Hunt | 78 yds | 54% |
| Patrick Mahomes | 22 yds | 22% |
| Carson Steele | 9 yds | 8% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | 64 yds | 43% |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 56 yds | 35% |
| Xavier Worthy | 43 yds | 33% |
Carson Steele Under 12.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Steele Under 12.5 Rushing Yards | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -110 |
- Our best prop bet for the Chiefs is for Carson Steele to record under 12.5 rushing yards.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 75.2%, providing an edge of 22.8% on the -110 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Buccaneers vs. Chiefs trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Baker Mayfield Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Baker Mayfield has recorded more than 1.5 passing touchdowns in 5 of his last 5 appearances (100% success rate). You can put money on him to record 2+ passing touchdowns again at odds of +146 (41% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Patrick Mahomes Over 4.5 Rushing Attempts
Patrick Mahomes has had more than 4.5 rushing attempts in 5 of his last 5 appearances (100%). You can place a bet on him to record over 4.5 rushing attempts again at odds of -115 (53%), available at Bet365.
Baker Mayfield Over 239.5 Passing Yards
Baker Mayfield has had more than 239.5 passing yards in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can wager on him to record over 239.5 passing yards again at odds of -110 (52%), again available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Rakim Jarrett of the Buccaneers to record Receptions 1.5 receptions, with an edge of 25.2% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Chiefs -9.5 to cover.
In addition to our Buccaneers vs. Chiefs predictions, we offer extensive NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best NFL bets and dive into our NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top NFL betting sites.
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