Browns vs. Saints Picks & Best Bets 17th Nov 2024: NFL Week 11 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The New Orleans Saints will take on the Cleveland Browns in NFL action on Sunday at Caesars Superdome, starting at 1:00 p.m. ET.
We run 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to determine the best Browns vs. Saints bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Browns will likely beat the Saints with a projected final score of 22-21.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Browns vs. Saints Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Browns vs. Saints picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce NFL predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Browns vs. Saints Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, November 17th, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome
- Spread: Browns -1.5 / Saints +1.5
- Moneyline: Browns -116 / Saints +100
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 44.5 Points (-104/-118)
Saints +1.5 @ -115 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Saints have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Browns have a probability of 48%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -115.
Total Points Under 44.5 @ -118 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -118.
- Our analysis indicates a 55% chance that the total will stay under 44.5 points, providing an edge of 0.4%.
Browns vs. Saints Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Cleveland Browns at -116 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the New Orleans Saints are available at +100 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Browns are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 53% chance of prevailing.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Browns also present the best betting value, with the odds of -116 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Browns vs. Saints
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Browns vs. Saints game.
Cleveland Browns Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | 71 yds | 49% |
| Jerome Ford | 20 yds | 23% |
| Jameis Winston | 11 yds | 10% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jerry Jeudy | 57 yds | 32% |
| Cedric Tillman | 55 yds | 36% |
| David Njoku | 50 yds | 33% |
Jerome Ford Over 11.5 Rushing Yards (-125)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Ford Over 11.5 Rushing Yards | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -125 |
- Our top prop bet for the Browns is for Jerome Ford to record over 11.5 rushing yards.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 74.8%, providing an edge of 19.2% on the -125 odds offered by DraftKings.
New Orleans Saints Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | 70 yds | 60% |
| Taysom Hill | 25 yds | 34% |
| Jordan Mims | 14 yds | 9% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 34 yds | 26% |
| Alvin Kamara | 33 yds | 60% |
| Cedrick Wilson | 25 yds | 14% |
Taysom Hill Under 2.5 Receptions (-135)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Taysom Hill Under 2.5 Receptions | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | -135 |
- Our best prop bet for the Saints is for Taysom Hill to record under 2.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 76.8%, giving us an edge of 19.4% on the -135 odds offered by DraftKings.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Browns vs. Saints Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Browns vs. Saints trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Jerome Ford Over 11.5 Rushing Yards
Jerome Ford has recorded more than 11.5 rushing yards in 7 of his last 8 games (88% of the time). You can wager on him to record 12+ rushing yards again at odds of -110 (52% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Cedrick Wilson Over 27.5 Receiving Yards
Cedrick Wilson has had more than 27.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80%). You can place a wager on him to record over 27.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), also available at Bet365.
Nick Chubb Over 6.5 Receiving Yards
Nick Chubb has had more than 6.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 8 games (62%). You can bet on him to record over 6.5 receiving yards again at odds of +100 (50%), available at FanDuel.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Taysom Hill of the Saints to record Receptions 2.5 receptions, with an edge of 19.4% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Saints +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Browns vs. Saints predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting resources. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NFL best bets and dive into NFL sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.
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