Browns vs. Raiders Picks & Best Bets 29th Sep 2024: NFL Week 4 Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Las Vegas Raiders will meet the Cleveland Browns in NFL action on Sunday at Allegiant Stadium, starting at 4:25 p.m. ET.
We performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's NFL matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to highlight the best Browns vs. Raiders bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Browns will likely win with a projected final score of 20-17.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Browns vs. Raiders Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Browns vs. Raiders picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to produce NFL picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Browns vs. Raiders Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, September 29th, 2024
- Game Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Location: Allegiant Stadium
- Spread: Browns -2.5 / Raiders +2.5
- Moneyline: Browns -145 / Raiders +128
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 37 Points (-108/-110)
Browns -2.5 @ -122 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Browns have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Raiders have a probability of 44%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -122 for the Browns -2.5, providing a favorable 1.5% edge for them to cover.
Total Points Over 37 @ -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total points scored is set at 37, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -108.
- Our analysis shows a 54% likelihood that the total will go over 37 points, providing an edge of 2%.
Browns vs. Raiders Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Cleveland Browns at -145 via BetMGM, whilst the Las Vegas Raiders are available at +128 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Browns are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 62% chance of victory.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Browns also present the best betting value, with the odds of -145 available at BetMGM, presenting an edge of 2.7%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Browns vs. Raiders
Here, we have outlined the projected player stats for the top offensive players on each team. We have then compared these projections to the odds and lines with the sportsbooks to produce NFL player props for Sunday's Browns vs. Raiders game.
Cleveland Browns Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jerome Ford | 55 yds | 40% |
| D'Onta Foreman | 28 yds | 20% |
| Deshaun Watson | 23 yds | 27% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Amari Cooper | 63 yds | 38% |
| Jerry Jeudy | 47 yds | 29% |
| Jordan Akins | 31 yds | 18% |
Jerome Ford Under 2.5 Receptions (+122)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Ford Under 2.5 Receptions | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +122 |
- Our top prop bet for the Browns is for Jerome Ford to record under 2.5 receptions.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 71.3%, giving us an edge of 26.3% on the +122 odds offered by FanDuel.
Las Vegas Raiders Prediction
| Player | Proj. Rush Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Zamir White | 43 yds | 31% |
| Alexander Mattison | 19 yds | 19% |
| Gardner Minshew | 8 yds | 9% |
| Player | Proj. Rec Yds | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Jakobi Meyers | 50 yds | 33% |
| Brock Bowers | 46 yds | 35% |
| Tre Tucker | 38 yds | 28% |
Brock Bowers Under 5.5 Receptions (-114)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Bowers Under 5.5 Receptions | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -114 |
- Our best prop bet for the Raiders is for Brock Bowers to record under 5.5 receptions.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 75.3%, providing an edge of 22.1% on the -114 odds offered by FanDuel.
These NFL player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Browns vs. Raiders Betting Trends
In addition to our NFL prop picks, we have sourced the best Browns vs. Raiders trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Deshaun Watson Over 31.5 Passing Attempts
Deshaun Watson has recorded more than 31.5 passing attempts in 4 of his last 5 games (80% success rate). You can wager on him to record 32+ passing attempts again at odds of +100 (50% implied probability), available at FanDuel.
Deshaun Watson Over 21.5 Rushing Yards
Deshaun Watson has had more than 21.5 rushing yards in 4 of his last 5 games (80%). You can make a bet that he'll record over 21.5 rushing yards again at odds of -105 (51%), available at DraftKings.
Jordan Akins Over 20.5 Receiving Yards
Jordan Akins has had more than 20.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 appearances (80%). You can wager on him to record over 20.5 receiving yards again at odds of -110 (52%), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jerome Ford of the Browns to record Receptions 2.5 receptions, with an edge of 26.3% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Browns -2.5 to cover.
In addition to our Browns vs. Raiders predictions, we offer a wide range of NFL betting tools. These include the latest NFL odds and insightful NFL predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our NFL best bets and dive into Kyle Odegard's NFL insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best NFL betting sites.
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